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Ligue 1

Referee: Jeremy Stinat

Paris FC

T S T S U

3–0

Full-time

Nice

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,38 xG 0,78

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris FC 14. · Nice 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
2	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
3	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
5	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.7	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
8	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.8	3
9	Brest	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.9	2
10	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
11	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
12	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
13	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
14	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
15	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
16	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
17	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.2	1
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
2	Lens	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
4	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
5	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
6	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
7	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
8	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
11	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
12	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
13	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.3	0
14	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
15	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-2	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.3	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
3	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
4	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
7	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
9	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
13	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
14	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.