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Ligue 1

Referee: J Miguelgorry

Strasbourg

S T U T U

2–3

Full-time

Montpellier

U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 32%

29%

34%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

51%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

49%

77%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 16. · Montpellier 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	36	23	10	3	+40	79
2	Paris SG	35	24	3	8	+52	75
3	Lyon	36	21	10	5	+36	73
4	Monaco	35	22	5	8	+32	71
5	Marseille	36	15	11	10	+6	56
6	Lens	36	15	11	10	+4	56
7	Rennes	35	15	9	11	+11	54
8	Montpellier	35	12	11	12	-4	47
9	Metz	35	12	10	13	+0	46
10	Nice	35	13	7	15	-3	46
11	St Etienne	36	12	9	15	-11	45
12	Reims	35	9	15	11	-2	42
13	Angers	35	11	8	16	-19	41
14	Brest	35	11	7	17	-13	40
15	Bordeaux	36	11	6	19	-18	39
16	Strasbourg	35	10	8	17	-10	38
17	Lorient	36	10	8	18	-19	38
18	Nantes	36	8	13	15	-11	37
19	Nimes	35	8	8	19	-29	32
20	Dijon	35	3	9	23	-42	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	18	11	5	2	+21	38
2	Paris SG	18	12	1	5	+26	37
3	Lyon	18	11	3	4	+20	36
4	Lille	18	10	6	2	+17	36
5	Marseille	18	9	5	4	+8	32
6	Lorient	18	9	2	7	+1	29
7	Brest	18	8	4	6	+1	28
8	Rennes	17	8	3	6	+3	27
9	Lens	18	7	6	5	+2	27
10	Montpellier	18	7	3	8	-1	24
11	Bordeaux	18	6	4	8	-5	22
12	Nice	17	6	3	8	-4	21
13	St Etienne	18	5	6	7	-8	21
14	Reims	17	4	8	5	-3	20
15	Metz	17	5	4	8	-4	19
16	Angers	17	5	3	9	-9	18
17	Nantes	18	3	8	7	-7	17
18	Strasbourg	17	4	4	9	-7	16
19	Nimes	18	3	5	10	-14	14
20	Dijon	18	1	6	11	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	18	13	4	1	+23	43
2	Paris SG	17	12	2	3	+26	38
3	Lyon	18	10	7	1	+16	37
4	Monaco	17	11	0	6	+11	33
5	Lens	18	8	5	5	+2	29
6	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+8	27
7	Metz	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Nice	18	7	4	7	+1	25
9	Marseille	18	6	6	6	-2	24
10	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-3	24
11	Montpellier	17	5	8	4	-3	23
12	Angers	18	6	5	7	-10	23
13	Reims	18	5	7	6	+1	22
14	Strasbourg	18	6	4	8	-3	22
15	Nantes	18	5	5	8	-4	20
16	Nimes	17	5	3	9	-15	18
17	Bordeaux	18	5	2	11	-13	17
18	Brest	17	3	3	11	-14	12
19	Lorient	18	1	6	11	-20	9
20	Dijon	17	2	3	12	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.