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Ligue 1

Referee: P Gaillouste

Strasbourg

U S S T S

3–1

Full-time

Montpellier

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

42%

47%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

53%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,9

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

19 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Strasbourg 8. · Montpellier 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	21	15	5	1	+24	50
2	Nice	21	12	4	5	+16	40
3	Marseille	19	10	6	3	+12	36
4	Rennes	21	10	4	7	+21	34
5	Lens	21	9	6	6	+7	33
6	Montpellier	19	9	4	6	+9	31
7	Monaco	20	8	6	6	+6	30
8	Strasbourg	19	8	5	6	+12	29
9	Nantes	21	8	5	8	+1	29
10	Lille	19	7	7	5	+0	28
11	Lyon	19	6	8	5	+0	26
12	Angers	19	6	7	6	-1	25
13	Brest	21	6	7	8	-7	25
14	Reims	20	5	9	6	+0	24
15	Clermont	19	4	6	9	-12	18
16	Troyes	19	4	5	10	-10	17
17	Bordeaux	21	3	8	10	-20	17
18	Lorient	19	3	7	9	-16	16
19	Metz	20	3	7	10	-18	16
20	St Etienne	20	2	6	12	-24	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Rennes	11	7	1	3	+17	22
3	Montpellier	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Lens	10	5	4	1	+10	19
5	Monaco	10	5	3	2	+8	18
6	Nice	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Strasbourg	10	5	2	3	+11	17
8	Lyon	10	4	5	1	+6	17
9	Nantes	10	5	2	3	+4	17
10	Marseille	10	4	4	2	+6	16
11	Lille	9	4	4	1	+1	16
12	Angers	9	4	1	4	+0	13
13	Reims	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Lorient	9	3	3	3	-1	12
15	Brest	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Troyes	10	2	4	4	-1	10
17	Clermont	9	2	4	3	-1	10
18	Bordeaux	11	1	4	6	-6	7
19	Metz	10	1	4	5	-7	7
20	St Etienne	11	1	4	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Paris SG	11	6	4	1	+7	22
3	Marseille	9	6	2	1	+6	20
4	Lens	11	4	2	5	-3	14
5	Brest	11	3	4	4	-4	13
6	Rennes	10	3	3	4	+4	12
7	Strasbourg	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Lille	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Angers	10	2	6	2	-1	12
10	Reims	11	2	6	3	-1	12
11	Monaco	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Montpellier	9	3	2	4	+0	11
14	Bordeaux	10	2	4	4	-14	10
15	Lyon	9	2	3	4	-6	9
16	Metz	10	2	3	5	-11	9
17	Clermont	10	2	2	6	-11	8
18	Troyes	9	2	1	6	-9	7
19	St Etienne	9	1	2	6	-12	5
20	Lorient	10	0	4	6	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.