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Serie A
Referee: S Galipo
Torino
S S U U T
2–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 36%
31%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
60%
54%
Both score Ø 49%
46%
51%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,26 xG 2,24
48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
13 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 13. · Sassuolo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 35 26 4 5 +51 +35.1 82
2 Napoli 35 21 7 7 +19 +11.7 70
3 Milan 35 19 10 6 +19 +16.2 67
4 Juventus 35 18 11 6 +28 +31.9 65
5 Roma 35 20 4 11 +23 +10.8 64
6 Como 35 17 11 7 +31 +24.5 62
7 Atalanta 35 14 13 8 +15 +15.5 55
8 Lazio 35 13 12 10 +5 -3.5 51
9 Bologna 35 14 7 14 +1 -1.3 49
10 Sassuolo 35 14 7 14 -1 -13.2 49
11 Udinese 35 13 8 14 -3 -10.1 47
12 Parma 35 10 12 13 -17 -20.8 42
13 Torino 35 11 8 16 -19 -7.8 41
14 Genoa 35 10 10 15 -8 -1.5 40
15 Fiorentina 35 8 13 14 -11 +4.3 37
16 Cagliari 35 9 10 16 -13 -15.2 37
17 Lecce 35 8 8 19 -23 -24.7 32
18 Cremonese 35 6 10 19 -26 -22.4 28
19 Verona 35 3 11 21 -33 -11.0 20
20 Pisa 35 2 12 21 -38 -18.5 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Sassuolo
38′
🟨 Luca Lipani
Half-time 0–0
Luca Marianucci 🟨
51′
51′
K. Thorstvedt 0–1
L. Lipani
D. Zapata 🔁
↦ A. Njie
59′
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ V. Lazaro
59′
Matteo Prati 🟨
63′
63′
🔁 D. Berardi
↦ C. Volpato
63′
🔁 I. Kone
↦ L. Lipani
1–1 G. Simeone
E. Ebosse
66′
E. Ilkhan 🔁
↦ M. Prati
67′
2–1 M. Pedersen
70′
75′
🔁 U. Garcia
↦ J. Doig
76′
🔁 M. Nzola
↦ A. Pinamonti
84′
🔁 D. Bakola
↦ N. Matic
86′
🟨 Kristian Thorstvedt
S. Kulenovic 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
86′
N. Nkounkou 🔁
↦ R. Obrador
86′
Niels Nkounkou 🟨
89′
Gvidas Gineitis 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
1 A. Paleari G
35 L. Marianucci D
23 S. Coco D
77 E. Ebosse D
20 V. Lazaro M
4 M. Prati M
66 G. Gineitis M
33 R. Obrador M
10 N. Vlasic F
92 A. Njie F
18 G. Simeone F
Bench (15)
81 F. Israel
99 L. Siviero
61 A. Tameze
34 C. Biraghi
17 S. Kulenovic
25 N. Nkounkou
6 E. Ilkhan
91 D. Zapata
13 G. Maripan
19 C. Adams
16 M. Pedersen
22 C. Casadei
8 I. Ilic
79 Z. Savva
84 T. Gabellini

Coach: Leonardo Colucci

Sassuolo

4-3-3
49 A. Muric G
25 W. Coulibaly D
6 S. Walukiewicz D
80 T. Muharemovic D
3 J. Doig D
35 L. Lipani M
18 N. Matic M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
7 C. Volpato F
99 A. Pinamonti F
45 A. Lauriente F
Bench (13)
12 G. Satalino
16 G. Zacchi
10 D. Berardi
24 L. Moro
90 I. Kone
66 Pedro Felipe
50 D. Bakola
19 F. Romagna
23 U. Garcia
8 M. Nzola
40 A. Vranckx
44 E. Iannoni
33 C. Frangella

Coach: Fabio Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,23
B
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Galipo · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.