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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Milan
U U S T U
2–2
Full-time
Torino
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,13 xG 0,99
56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. May -24 Torino – Milan 3–1 26. Aug -23 Milan – Torino 4–1 10. Feb -23 Milan – Torino 1–0 11. Jan -23 Milan – Torino 0–1 30. Oct -22 Torino – Milan 2–1

Match report

Milan Torino
30′
⚽ M. Thiaw 1–0
own goal
Malick Thiaw ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
31′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Mërgim Vojvoda
48′
🟨 Samuele Ricci
Luka Jović 🟨
57′
T. Reijnders 🔁
↦ I. Bennacer
59′
Álvaro Morata 🔁
↦ L. Jović
60′
T. Hernández 🔁
↦ S. Chukwueze
60′
60′
🔁 C. Adams
↦ A. Sanabria
Álvaro Morata ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
64′
68′
⚽ D. Zapata 1–1
V. Lazaro
71′
🔁 Y. Karamoh
↦ D. Zapata
71′
🔁 A. Tamèze
↦ I. Ilić
Y. Musah 🔁
↦ C. Pulišić
73′
N. Okafor 🔁
↦ D. Calabria
83′
88′
🔁 A. Dembélé
↦ R. Bellanova
88′
🔁 S. Sazonov
↦ V. Lazaro
Álvaro Morata 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Adrien Tameze
2–1 Álvaro Morata ⚽
89′
Alexis Saelemaekers 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Che Adams
3–1 N. Okafor ⚽
Y. Musah
95′
97′
🟨 Ali Dembele
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,64
🔒
U ✓
3,97
🔒
B
5,51
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
U2,5
1,91
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.