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La Liga

Referee: A Ruiz

Elche

T U T U T

1–3

Full-time

Barcelona

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 53%

24%

81%

Points per game

1,1

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

52%

81%

Both score Ø 65%

67%

62%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,4

2,7

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,00 xG 6,44

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 30

3 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 8

5 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 12. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	17	1	3	+35	+22.8	52
2	Real Madrid	21	16	3	2	+28	+26.8	51
3	Ath Madrid	22	13	6	3	+21	+10.5	45
4	Villarreal	21	13	3	5	+16	+6.9	42
5	Espanol	22	10	4	8	-1	+3.2	34
6	Betis	21	8	8	5	+7	+6.3	32
7	Celta	21	8	8	5	+6	-0.0	32
8	Sociedad	21	7	6	8	+0	-1.2	27
9	Osasuna	22	7	5	10	-1	-2.6	26
10	Alaves	22	7	4	11	-7	-2.6	25
11	Girona	22	6	7	9	-15	-12.1	25
12	Elche	21	5	9	7	+0	-10.2	24
13	Sevilla	21	7	3	11	-5	-9.8	24
14	Ath Bilbao	21	7	3	11	-10	+5.9	24
15	Valencia	21	5	8	8	-11	-1.1	23
16	Vallecano	21	5	7	9	-11	+1.2	22
17	Getafe	21	6	4	11	-11	-7.2	22
18	Mallorca	21	5	6	10	-9	-12.7	21
19	Levante	21	4	6	11	-10	-7.6	18
20	Oviedo	22	3	7	12	-22	-16.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	10	1	0	+19	+13.9	31
2	Barcelona	10	10	0	0	+26	+16.2	30
3	Real Madrid	10	9	0	1	+17	+15.6	27
4	Villarreal	11	8	1	2	+14	+5.8	25
5	Osasuna	11	6	3	2	+7	+2.6	21
6	Elche	11	5	5	1	+9	+1.2	20
7	Betis	10	6	1	3	+9	+5.9	19
8	Espanol	12	6	1	5	-2	+1.6	19
9	Alaves	11	5	3	3	+3	+1.4	18
10	Valencia	11	4	5	2	+4	+8.7	17
11	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+2	+0.0	17
12	Mallorca	10	4	4	2	+1	-0.8	16
13	Ath Bilbao	10	5	1	4	-1	+7.2	16
14	Celta	11	3	5	3	+3	+1.4	14
15	Sevilla	11	4	1	6	-1	-1.5	13
16	Girona	11	3	4	4	-8	-7.7	13
17	Vallecano	10	2	6	2	-1	+5.4	12
18	Getafe	10	3	2	5	-1	-4.2	11
19	Oviedo	11	2	5	4	-7	-8.4	11
20	Levante	10	1	4	5	-9	-5.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+11	+11.2	24
2	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+9	+6.6	22
3	Celta	10	5	3	2	+3	-1.4	18
4	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+2	+1.1	17
5	Espanol	10	4	3	3	+1	+1.7	15
6	Ath Madrid	11	3	5	3	+2	-3.4	14
7	Betis	11	2	7	2	-2	+0.3	13
8	Girona	11	3	3	5	-7	-4.4	12
9	Levante	11	3	2	6	-1	-2.1	11
10	Sevilla	10	3	2	5	-4	-8.4	11
11	Getafe	11	3	2	6	-10	-3.0	11
12	Sociedad	10	2	4	4	-2	-1.2	10
13	Vallecano	11	3	1	7	-10	-4.2	10
14	Ath Bilbao	11	2	2	7	-9	-1.4	8
15	Alaves	11	2	1	8	-10	-4.0	7
16	Valencia	10	1	3	6	-15	-9.7	6
17	Osasuna	11	1	2	8	-8	-5.1	5
18	Mallorca	11	1	2	8	-10	-11.8	5
19	Oviedo	11	1	2	8	-15	-8.0	5
20	Elche	10	0	4	6	-9	-11.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.