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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada

Ath Madrid

T S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Sevilla

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 68%

80%

56%

Points per game

2,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

33%

25%

Both score Ø 36%

27%

44%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%

5 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 12

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 1. · Sevilla 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	12	2	1	+23	38
2	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+15	37
3	Barcelona	18	10	4	4	+20	34
4	Villarreal	18	8	8	2	+9	32
5	Sociedad	19	8	6	5	+13	30
6	Sevilla	16	9	3	4	+8	30
7	Granada	18	8	3	7	-8	27
8	Celta	18	6	5	7	-6	23
9	Cadiz	18	6	5	7	-7	23
10	Betis	18	7	2	9	-9	23
11	Levante	17	5	6	6	-1	21
12	Ath Bilbao	18	6	3	9	-1	21
13	Getafe	17	5	5	7	-3	20
14	Valencia	18	4	7	7	-1	19
15	Eibar	18	4	7	7	-3	19
16	Alaves	18	4	6	8	-7	18
17	Valladolid	18	4	6	8	-9	18
18	Elche	16	3	7	6	-7	16
19	Osasuna	18	3	6	9	-12	15
20	Huesca	18	1	9	8	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Granada	10	6	2	2	+3	20
3	Villarreal	9	5	4	0	+7	19
4	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+11	18
5	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	+10	18
6	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Ath Bilbao	9	5	0	4	+5	15
8	Levante	8	4	3	1	+4	15
9	Celta	9	5	0	4	-2	15
10	Sociedad	9	3	4	2	+5	13
11	Getafe	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Betis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Valencia	9	2	4	3	+1	10
14	Alaves	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Cadiz	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-5	9
17	Osasuna	9	2	3	4	-5	9
18	Elche	9	1	5	3	-5	8
19	Eibar	9	1	4	4	-4	7
20	Huesca	9	1	4	4	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+5	19
2	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+8	17
3	Barcelona	9	5	1	3	+9	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
5	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Cadiz	9	4	2	3	-3	14
7	Villarreal	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Betis	10	4	0	6	-8	12
10	Valencia	9	2	3	4	-2	9
11	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-3	9
12	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Elche	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Celta	9	1	5	3	-4	8
15	Alaves	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Granada	8	2	1	5	-11	7
17	Levante	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Ath Bilbao	9	1	3	5	-6	6
19	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Huesca	9	0	5	4	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.