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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Sevilla

S U T S S

2–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 57%

63%

50%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

31%

63%

Both score Ø 47%

38%

56%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

6 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 2. · Ath Madrid 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	13	3	1	+24	42
2	Sevilla	16	10	4	2	+15	34
3	Betis	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Vallecano	18	9	3	6	+8	30
5	Ath Madrid	16	8	5	3	+9	29
6	Sociedad	18	8	5	5	+0	29
7	Barcelona	17	7	6	4	+7	27
8	Valencia	17	6	7	4	+3	25
9	Espanol	18	6	5	7	-1	23
10	Villarreal	17	5	7	5	+3	22
11	Osasuna	17	5	7	5	-4	22
12	Ath Bilbao	17	4	9	4	+1	21
13	Celta	18	5	5	8	-2	20
14	Mallorca	17	4	8	5	-7	20
15	Granada	16	3	7	6	-7	16
16	Elche	18	3	6	9	-9	15
17	Alaves	17	4	3	10	-11	15
18	Cadiz	17	2	7	8	-16	13
19	Getafe	17	2	6	9	-9	12
20	Levante	17	0	8	9	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	9	8	1	0	+16	25
2	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Barcelona	10	6	2	2	+8	20
4	Espanol	9	6	2	1	+7	20
5	Sevilla	7	6	1	0	+12	19
6	Betis	9	5	2	2	+9	17
7	Valencia	9	4	4	1	+6	16
8	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Sociedad	9	4	3	2	+0	15
10	Villarreal	8	4	2	2	+5	14
11	Mallorca	9	2	6	1	+1	12
12	Ath Bilbao	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Elche	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Alaves	9	3	1	5	-5	10
15	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	Granada	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Celta	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Osasuna	9	1	5	3	-6	8
19	Levante	8	0	6	2	-5	6
20	Cadiz	9	0	5	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Betis	8	5	1	2	+3	16
3	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Ath Madrid	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Osasuna	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Celta	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Ath Bilbao	9	1	7	1	+0	10
9	Valencia	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Villarreal	9	1	5	3	-2	8
11	Granada	9	1	5	3	-4	8
12	Cadiz	8	2	2	4	-8	8
13	Mallorca	8	2	2	4	-8	8
14	Barcelona	7	1	4	2	-1	7
15	Alaves	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Elche	10	1	2	7	-8	5
17	Vallecano	9	1	2	6	-8	5
18	Getafe	9	0	4	5	-8	4
19	Espanol	9	0	3	6	-8	3
20	Levante	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.