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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Sociedad
S T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
4 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 9. · Ath Madrid 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Betis 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +7 7
4 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Celta 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Ath Madrid 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Osasuna 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 Sociedad 3 2 0 1 -1 6
10 Mallorca 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Girona 4 1 1 2 +0 4
12 Almeria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Vallecano 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Valencia 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Sevilla 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Elche 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Getafe 3 0 1 2 -5 1
19 Valladolid 3 0 1 2 -7 1
20 Cadiz 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Madrid
5′
Álvaro Morata 0–1
12′
🟨 Saúl Ñíguez
24′
🟨 Rodrigo de Paul
Martín Zubimendi 🟨
28′
31′
ℹ️ Álvaro Morata
VAR: Goal cancelled
Mohamed-Ali Cho 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Marcos Llorente
Half-time 0–1
U. Sadiq 🔁
↦ A. Sørloth
46′
46′
🔁 G. Kondogbia
↦ Saúl
1–1 U. Sadiq
M. Cho
55′
Igor Zubeldia 🟨
57′
61′
🟨 Álvaro Morata
63′
🔁 A. Griezmann
↦ R. De Paul
Elustondo 🔁
↦ Zubeldia
71′
Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ M. Cho
71′
T. Kubo 🔁
↦ David Silva
71′
Andoni Gorosabel 🟨
72′
78′
🔁 Hermoso
↦ Y. Carrasco
79′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ Álvaro Morata
Álex Sola 🔁
↦ Gorosabel
83′
84′
🔁 I. Grbić
↦ J. Oblak
Mikel Merino 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-1-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
5 Zubeldia D
24 R. Le Normand D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
21 David Silva M
19 A. Sørloth F
11 M. Cho F
Bench (12)
25 U. Sadiq
6 Elustondo
7 Barrenetxea
14 T. Kubo
2 Álex Sola
20 Jon Pacheco
17 Robert Navarro
33 Jon Karrikaburu
22 Beñat Turrientes
4 Illarramendi
30 Urko González
13 Andoni Zubiaurre

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Ath Madrid

3-1-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
2 J. Giménez D
20 A. Witsel D
23 Reinildo D
6 Koke M
14 Marcos Llorente M
5 R. De Paul M
17 Saúl M
21 Y. Carrasco M
19 Álvaro Morata F
7 João Félix F
Bench (9)
4 G. Kondogbia
8 A. Griezmann
22 Hermoso
10 Á. Correa
1 I. Grbić
30 Sergio Díez
31 Antonio Gomis
18 Felipe
32 Alberto Moreno

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
U ✓
3,17
B
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.