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Süper Lig

Referee: O Aksu

Karagumruk

T T U S S

2–1

Full-time

Alanyaspor

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 21%

21%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 53%

45%

61%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,78 xG 0,74

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 17. · Alanyaspor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	33	24	5	4	+48	+35.9	77
2	Fenerbahce	33	21	10	2	+40	+34.2	73
3	Trabzonspor	33	20	9	4	+25	+7.4	69
4	Besiktas	34	17	9	8	+19	+26.6	60
5	Goztep	33	14	13	6	+13	+10.5	55
6	Buyuksehyr	33	15	9	9	+22	+9.3	54
7	Samsunspor	33	12	12	9	-2	+3.8	48
8	Rizespor	34	10	11	13	-6	-0.2	41
9	Konyaspor	33	10	10	13	-6	-4.3	40
10	Alanyaspor	33	7	16	10	+1	-8.5	37
11	Kocaelispor	33	9	10	14	-11	-2.1	37
12	Gaziantep	33	9	10	14	-14	-4.9	37
13	Eyüpspor	33	8	8	17	-15	-18.2	32
14	Kasimpasa	33	7	11	15	-17	-14.3	32
15	Genclerbirligi	33	8	7	18	-14	-17.4	31
16	Antalyaspor	33	7	8	18	-23	-28.4	29
17	Karagumruk	33	7	6	20	-24	-15.5	27
18	Kayserispor	33	5	12	16	-36	-13.9	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	13	4	0	+32	+26.3	43
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	5	0	+21	+24.6	38
3	Trabzonspor	16	9	6	1	+14	+7.2	33
4	Besiktas	17	9	4	4	+10	+19.4	31
5	Goztep	17	8	7	2	+10	+10.5	31
6	Buyuksehyr	17	8	6	3	+16	+6.4	30
7	Rizespor	17	8	3	6	+1	+7.6	27
8	Samsunspor	16	6	7	3	+2	+6.6	25
9	Genclerbirligi	17	7	4	6	+0	-1.2	25
10	Konyaspor	17	6	6	5	+2	+1.1	24
11	Alanyaspor	17	6	5	6	+6	-2.3	23
12	Kocaelispor	17	6	5	6	+2	+7.1	23
13	Gaziantep	16	5	5	6	-4	+4.9	20
14	Eyüpspor	17	5	4	8	-2	-3.5	19
15	Kasimpasa	16	4	6	6	-5	-0.0	18
16	Karagumruk	16	5	3	8	-6	-2.0	18
17	Antalyaspor	16	4	4	8	-12	-7.6	16
18	Kayserispor	16	4	4	8	-18	-1.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	17	11	3	3	+11	+0.3	36
2	Fenerbahce	17	10	5	2	+19	+9.6	35
3	Galatasaray	16	11	1	4	+16	+9.6	34
4	Besiktas	17	8	5	4	+9	+7.2	29
5	Buyuksehyr	16	7	3	6	+6	+2.9	24
6	Goztep	16	6	6	4	+3	-0.0	24
7	Samsunspor	17	6	5	6	-4	-2.8	23
8	Gaziantep	17	4	5	8	-10	-9.8	17
9	Konyaspor	16	4	4	8	-8	-5.3	16
10	Alanyaspor	16	1	11	4	-5	-6.1	14
11	Rizespor	17	2	8	7	-7	-7.8	14
12	Kasimpasa	17	3	5	9	-12	-14.2	14
13	Kocaelispor	16	3	5	8	-13	-9.2	14
14	Antalyaspor	17	3	4	10	-11	-20.8	13
15	Eyüpspor	16	3	4	9	-13	-14.7	13
16	Kayserispor	17	1	8	8	-18	-12.2	11
17	Karagumruk	17	2	3	12	-18	-13.5	9
18	Genclerbirligi	16	1	3	12	-14	-16.2	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.