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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergun

Alanyaspor

U S U U T

2–3

Full-time

Samsunspor

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 27%

20%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

43%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

60%

63%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,10 xG 1,54

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alanyaspor 12. · Samsunspor 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	31	23	5	3	+49	+32.6	74
2	Fenerbahce	31	19	10	2	+35	+30.4	67
3	Trabzonspor	30	19	8	3	+25	+8.8	65
4	Besiktas	30	16	7	7	+18	+24.9	55
5	Buyuksehyr	31	14	9	8	+21	+7.5	51
6	Goztep	31	13	12	6	+12	+8.4	51
7	Samsunspor	30	10	12	8	-3	+5.9	42
8	Rizespor	31	9	10	12	-3	-0.4	37
9	Konyaspor	30	9	10	11	-3	-0.8	37
10	Gaziantep	31	9	10	12	-11	-3.8	37
11	Kocaelispor	31	9	9	13	-10	-2.0	36
12	Alanyaspor	30	6	15	9	+0	-9.0	33
13	Kasimpasa	31	7	10	14	-16	-14.6	31
14	Genclerbirligi	31	7	7	17	-14	-18.6	28
15	Eyüpspor	31	7	7	17	-19	-18.5	28
16	Antalyaspor	31	7	7	17	-21	-23.8	28
17	Kayserispor	31	5	11	15	-34	-14.3	26
18	Karagumruk	30	5	5	20	-26	-12.8	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	12	4	0	+30	+22.5	40
2	Fenerbahce	15	10	5	0	+19	+23.4	35
3	Trabzonspor	15	9	5	1	+14	+7.9	32
4	Besiktas	15	9	3	3	+11	+16.4	30
5	Goztep	16	7	7	2	+9	+9.2	28
6	Buyuksehyr	16	7	6	3	+13	+3.4	27
7	Kocaelispor	16	6	5	5	+3	+7.0	23
8	Rizespor	15	7	2	6	+0	+6.5	23
9	Genclerbirligi	16	6	4	6	-1	-1.1	22
10	Samsunspor	15	5	7	3	-1	+6.1	22
11	Konyaspor	15	5	6	4	+4	+4.6	21
12	Alanyaspor	15	5	5	5	+5	-2.1	20
13	Gaziantep	15	5	5	5	-2	+4.6	20
14	Kasimpasa	15	4	5	6	-5	-0.3	17
15	Eyüpspor	16	4	4	8	-6	-4.4	16
16	Karagumruk	15	4	3	8	-7	-0.7	15
17	Antalyaspor	15	4	3	8	-12	-6.8	15
18	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-18	-2.3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	11	1	3	+19	+10.1	34
2	Trabzonspor	15	10	3	2	+11	+0.9	33
3	Fenerbahce	16	9	5	2	+16	+7.0	32
4	Besiktas	15	7	4	4	+7	+8.5	25
5	Buyuksehyr	15	7	3	5	+8	+4.1	24
6	Goztep	15	6	5	4	+3	-0.8	23
7	Samsunspor	15	5	5	5	-2	-0.2	20
8	Gaziantep	16	4	5	7	-9	-8.5	17
9	Konyaspor	15	4	4	7	-7	-5.3	16
10	Rizespor	16	2	8	6	-3	-6.9	14
11	Kasimpasa	16	3	5	8	-11	-14.4	14
12	Alanyaspor	15	1	10	4	-5	-6.9	13
13	Antalyaspor	16	3	4	9	-9	-17.0	13
14	Kocaelispor	15	3	4	8	-13	-9.0	13
15	Eyüpspor	15	3	3	9	-13	-14.1	12
16	Kayserispor	16	1	8	7	-16	-12.0	11
17	Genclerbirligi	15	1	3	11	-13	-17.5	6
18	Karagumruk	15	1	2	12	-19	-12.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.