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Champions League
Referee: Clement Turpin
AEK
S U U U S
4–0
Full-time
Levski Sofia
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Levski Sofia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
0%
57%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 15%
0%
29%
Both score Ø 15%
0%
29%
Average goals
0,0
1,9
Scored
0,0
1,4
Conceded
0,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Aug -26 Levski Sofia – AEK 0–0

Match report

AEK Levski Sofia
1–0 L. Jovic ⚽
L. Rota
7′
2–0 B. Varga ⚽
F. Relvas
12′
3–0 B. Varga ⚽
L. Majer
29′
Half-time 3–0
Răzvan Marin 🟨
51′
4–0 R. Marin ⚽
55′
63′
🔁 G. Trdin
↦ Everton Bala
63′
🔁 J. Perea
↦ Reinaldo
63′
🔁 D. Kusso
↦ Maicon
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ A. Koita
72′
Stavros Pilios 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 M. Soula
↦ A. Oko-Flex
Zini 🔁
↦ B. Varga
81′
O. Zubkov 🔁
↦ L. Majer
81′
82′
🔁 A. Mitkov
↦ Serginho
M. Gacinovic 🔁
↦ L. Jovic
86′
K. Arriaga 🔁
↦ R. Marin
86′
Zini 🟨
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
14 L. Majer M
18 R. Marin M
6 K. Kairinen M
11 A. Koita M
25 B. Varga F
9 L. Jovic F
Bench (11)
91 A. Brignoli
41 M. Balamotis
21 D. Vida
15 M. Georgiev
20 P. Mantalos
8 M. Gacinovic
16 K. Arriaga
90 Zini
17 D. Kaloskamis
10 O. Zubkov
7 D. Kutesa

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Levski Sofia

4-3-3
92 S. Vutsov G
21 A. Neves D
50 K. Dimitrov D
31 N. Serafimov D
20 A. Centelles D
35 Serginho M
19 M. Moubarik M
3 Maicon M
11 A. Oko-Flex F
17 Everton Bala F
7 Reinaldo F
Bench (11)
78 M. Lukov
1 O. Vladimirov
4 C. Makoun
2 S. Hevertton
22 M. Soula
10 A. Mitkov
18 G. Trdin
9 J. Perea
77 A. Raychev
28 S. Stoyanchov
27 D. Kusso

Coach: Julio Velazquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Clement Turpin · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.