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Super League
Referee: D Siebert
0–0
Full-time
AEK
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Super League · 25/27 matches
Win Ø 56%
48%
63%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
40%
44%
Both score Ø 41%
52%
30%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
5 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · AEK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 27 18 6 3 +28 60
2 AEK 27 17 5 5 +32 56
3 Panathinaikos 27 14 8 5 +7 50
4 PAOK 27 14 5 8 +25 47
5 OFI Crete 27 12 6 9 +3 42
6 Aris 26 12 6 8 +3 42
7 Aris Thessalonikis 25 12 5 8 +3 41
8 Asteras Tripolis 28 11 6 11 -1 39
9 Atromitos 27 10 5 12 -1 35
10 Panetolikos 27 10 5 12 -2 35
11 Levadeiakos 27 7 9 11 -3 30
12 Panserraikos 28 8 4 16 -19 28
13 Volos NFC 28 7 5 16 -21 26
14 Athens Kallithea 27 3 9 15 -20 18
15 Lamia 28 3 6 19 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis AEK
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Erik Lamela
Hugo Mallo 🟨
49′
58′
🟥 Gerasimos Mitoglou
60′
ℹ️ Gerasimos Mitoglou
VAR:
62′
🟨 Damian Szymański
63′
🔁 S. Pilios
↦ N. Eliasson
63′
🔁 H. Moukoudi
↦ A. Koïta
Monchu 🟨
68′
Dudu Rodrigues 🔁
↦ D. Špikić
70′
72′
🔁 D. Theodoridis
↦ F. Pierrot
72′
🔁 S. Tsiloulis
↦ É. Lamela
72′
🔁 Paolo Fernandes
↦ M. Gaćinović
Á. Zamora 🔁
↦ V. Darida
75′
84′
🟨 Robert Ljubičić
G. Fetfatzidis 🔁
↦ K. Saverio
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-4-1-1
23 Julián G
22 Hugo Mallo D
3 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
37 H. Mendyl D
70 D. Špikić M
8 Monchu M
5 J. Cifuentes M
11 K. Saverio M
16 V. Darida F
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
28 Dudu Rodrigues
9 Á. Zamora
10 G. Fetfatzidis
33 Martín Montoya
92 L. Rose
20 F. Sidklev
19 R. Quaison
17 M. Frýdek
21 Rubén Pardo

Coach: M. Ouzounidis

AEK

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
24 G. Mitoglou D
8 M. Gaćinović D
4 D. Szymański M
23 R. Ljubičić M
19 N. Eliasson M
9 É. Lamela M
11 A. Koïta M
14 F. Pierrot F
Bench (9)
3 S. Pilios
2 H. Moukoudi
98 D. Theodoridis
16 S. Tsiloulis
22 Paolo Fernandes
80 H. Fofana
99 G. Theocharis
32 E. Sosa
28 E. Hajisafi

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.