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Super League

Referee: Fábio Veríssimo

AEK

T S S T S

4–0

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Super League · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 52%

54%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

38%

33%

Both score Ø 41%

23%

58%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

0,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%

22 Shots 3

9 Shots on target 0

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 0

2 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 1. · Aris Thessalonikis 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	13	7	3	3	+13	24
2	Olympiakos	13	7	3	3	+10	24
3	PAOK	13	7	2	4	+7	23
4	Panathinaikos	13	6	5	2	+4	23
5	Panetolikos	14	6	4	4	+4	22
6	Aris Thessalonikis	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	Aris	13	6	3	4	+2	21
8	OFI Crete	13	5	4	4	-2	19
9	Atromitos	13	5	3	5	+1	18
10	Asteras Tripolis	13	4	5	4	+1	17
11	Volos NFC	14	5	2	7	-7	17
12	Panserraikos	13	4	1	8	-7	13
13	Levadeiakos	14	1	7	6	-10	10
14	Lamia	14	1	6	7	-11	9
15	Athens Kallithea	13	0	7	6	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	7	5	2	0	+14	17
2	Olympiakos	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Aris Thessalonikis	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Aris	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Panetolikos	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Panathinaikos	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	OFI Crete	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Atromitos	8	2	2	4	-2	8
9	Asteras Tripolis	6	2	1	3	+1	7
10	PAOK	7	2	1	4	-1	7
11	Levadeiakos	7	1	4	2	-4	7
12	Panserraikos	6	1	1	4	-3	4
13	Lamia	6	0	3	3	-5	3
14	Athens Kallithea	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Volos NFC	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Volos NFC	7	5	0	2	+2	15
3	Panathinaikos	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	OFI Crete	7	3	2	2	-2	11
5	Olympiakos	7	3	1	3	+3	10
6	Atromitos	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Asteras Tripolis	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Panetolikos	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Panserraikos	7	3	0	4	-4	9
10	Aris Thessalonikis	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Aris	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	AEK	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Lamia	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Athens Kallithea	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Levadeiakos	7	0	3	4	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.