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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Burda
Phönix Lübeck
1–4
Full-time
Dortmund
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

15% Possession 85%
9 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
22 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
23 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
24 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Phönix Lübeck Dortmund
3′
⚽ W. Anton 0–1
P. Groß
23′
🟨 Nico Schlotterbeck
Kevin Ntika 🟨
30′
31′
⚽ E. Can 0–2
Half-time 0–3
46′
⚽ J. Brandt 0–3
P. Groß
J. Ajala-Alexis 🔁
↦ Y. Obushniy
46′
46′
🔁 A. Meyer
↦ G. Kobel
Johann Berger 🟨
47′
1–3 O. Iloka ⚽
55′
59′
🔁 Yan Couto
↦ J. Ryerson
59′
🔁 J. Duranville
↦ J. Gittens
59′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ E. Can
T. Lesueur 🔁
↦ J. Kliti
61′
62′
⚽ J. Duranville 1–4
Yan Couto
69′
🔁 M. Beier
↦ K. Adeyemi
A. Ihde 🔁
↦ J. Stöver
75′
L. Kurtz 🔁
↦ E. Adou
75′
L. Fritzsche 🔁
↦ F. Maiolo
84′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Phönix Lübeck

4-2-3-1
30 C. Leonhard G
27 C. Bock D
13 O. Iloka D
4 K. Ntika D
21 V. Sadrifar D
8 F. Maiolo M
6 J. Berger M
20 E. Adou M
17 Y. Obushniy M
10 J. Stöver M
7 J. Kliti F
Bench (8)
23 J. Ajala-Alexis
22 T. Lesueur
11 A. Ihde
24 L. Kurtz
18 L. Fritzsche
14 B. Jablonski
25 N. Poplawski
1 M. Schneider

Coach: D. Adigo

Dortmund

3-4-3
1 G. Kobel G
3 W. Anton D
25 N. Süle D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
26 J. Ryerson M
23 E. Can M
13 P. Groß M
43 J. Gittens M
20 M. Sabitzer F
27 K. Adeyemi F
10 J. Brandt F
Bench (9)
33 A. Meyer
2 Yan Couto
16 J. Duranville
21 D. Malen
14 M. Beier
8 F. Nmecha
9 S. Haller
7 G. Reyna
5 R. Bensebaini

Coach: N. Şahin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.