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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl
Korona Kielce
U T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Legia
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,67 xG 0,61
61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 16. · Legia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Pogon Szczecin 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.8 6
2 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.6 6
3 Legia 2 2 0 0 +3 +2.6 6
4 Jagiellonia 2 2 0 0 +2 -0.8 6
5 Wisla 3 2 0 1 +1 +3.4 6
6 Lech Poznan 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.5 4
7 Wisla Plock 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.0 4
8 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.3 3
9 Slask Wroclaw 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.6 3
10 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.3 3
11 Piast Gliwice 2 1 0 1 -1 -2.0 3
12 Radomiak Radom 3 1 0 2 -3 -1.1 3
13 Widzew Lodz 2 0 2 0 +0 +1.4 2
14 Cracovia 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.3 1
15 Motor Lublin 3 0 1 2 -3 -1.3 1
16 Korona Kielce 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
17 Rakow 2 0 0 2 -2 +2.1 0
18 Wieczysta Krakow 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Legia
28′
L. Zjawinski 0–1
K. Piatkowski
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Rafał Adamski
Kamil Jakubczyk 🟨
60′
S. Davidovic 🔁
↦ A. Mosor
63′
67′
🔁 J. Zewlakow
↦ W. Urbanski
67′
🔁 M. Rajovic
↦ L. Zjawinski
1–1 M. Stepinski
W. Dlugosz
70′
M. Remacle 🔁
↦ K. Jakubczyk
71′
Nono 🔁
↦ S. Gustafson
85′
D. Bak 🔁
↦ M. Stepinski
85′
87′
🔁 A. Reca
↦ P. Wszolek
87′
🔁 H. Arreiol
↦ B. Kapustka
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

3-4-2-1
1 X. Dziekonski G
23 S. Rubezic D
44 K. Sotiriou D
2 A. Mosor D
71 W. Dlugosz M
18 P. Hellebrand M
35 K. Jakubczyk M
6 M. Pieczek M
86 S. Gustafson F
22 M. Fassbender F
14 M. Stepinski F
Bench (10)
87 R. Mamla
10 Nono
11 K. Matuszewski
37 H. Zwozny
24 B. Smolarczyk
9 S. Davidovic
21 K. Ciszek
8 M. Remacle
99 D. Bak
67 N. Barczak

Coach: Jacek Zielinski

Legia

3-1-4-2
89 O. Hindrich G
91 K. Piatkowski D
8 R. Augustyniak D
5 R. Deziel D
4 D. Szymanski M
22 P. Wszolek M
53 W. Urbanski M
67 B. Kapustka M
19 R. Vinagre M
79 L. Zjawinski F
9 R. Adamski F
Bench (9)
59 J. Bienduga
13 A. Reca
23 M. Sevcik
6 H. Arreiol
20 J. Zewlakow
97 E. Mikanovich
77 F. Przybylko
11 K. Chodyna
29 M. Rajovic

Coach: Marek Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jaroslaw Przybyl · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.