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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak

Korona Kielce

S U T U S

1–1

Full-time

Motor Lublin

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,88 xG 0,68

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 10. · Motor Lublin 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	4	3	1	0	+8	+3.9	10
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+4	-1.7	9
3	Cracovia	5	2	2	1	+0	+3.1	8
4	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
5	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.8	6
6	Zaglebie	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.6	6
7	Wisla	4	2	0	2	+0	+4.5	6
8	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.8	6
9	Widzew Lodz	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.6	5
10	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.5	4
11	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
12	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
13	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.5	4
14	GKS Katowice	3	1	0	2	+0	-2.2	3
15	Wieczysta Krakow	4	1	0	3	-2	-0.6	3
16	Piast Gliwice	4	1	0	3	-5	-4.3	3
17	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-8	-2.4	3
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.0	6
2	Zaglebie	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.0	6
3	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.8	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.0	6
5	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.2	6
6	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
7	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.3	4
8	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
9	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
10	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
11	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.0	3
12	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	3
13	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
14	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Wisla Plock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
16	Widzew Lodz	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.4	1
17	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
18	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
2	Legia	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
3	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
6	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
8	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
9	Wieczysta Krakow	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.0	3
10	Cracovia	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
11	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.5	1
12	Wisla	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.7	0
13	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
14	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.2	0
15	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.4	0
16	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0
18	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.