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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Cremonese
S U T S U
1–2
Full-time
Cesena
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Cesena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 39%
42%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
46%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Cesena 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 27 19 5 3 +33 62
2 Pisa 27 16 7 4 +19 55
3 Spezia 26 13 11 2 +23 50
4 Cremonese 26 11 8 7 +11 41
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 27 10 9 8 +0 39
7 Bari 27 8 13 6 +4 37
8 Modena 27 7 13 7 +2 34
9 Cesena 26 9 7 10 -1 34
10 Palermo 26 8 8 10 +2 32
11 Carrarese 27 8 7 12 -9 31
12 Cittadella 27 8 7 12 -16 31
13 Reggiana 27 7 9 11 -5 30
14 Brescia 26 6 11 9 -5 29
15 Sampdoria 27 6 11 10 -7 29
16 Mantova 27 6 11 10 -9 29
17 Sudtirol 26 8 4 14 -12 28
18 Cosenza 26 5 10 11 -10 25
19 Salernitana 26 6 7 13 -11 25
20 Frosinone 26 4 11 11 -17 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Dec -24 Cesena – Cremonese 0–1

Match report

Cremonese Cesena
14′
G. Calò 0–1
A. La Gumina
1–1 Paulo Azzi
M. Castagnetti
40′
Half-time 1–1
Marco Nasti 🟨
46′
Michele Castagnetti 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 M. Antonucci
↦ F. Russo
46′
🔁 T. Berti
↦ E. Adamo
Tommaso Barbieri 🟨
59′
M. De Luca 🔁
↦ F. Bonazzoli
62′
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ T. Barbieri
63′
Valentin Antov ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
64′
65′
🔁 S. Bastoni
↦ D. Šarić
M. Valoti 🔁
↦ M. Nasti
72′
73′
🔁 C. Shpendi
↦ A. La Gumina
Federico Ceccherini 🟨
77′
Ž. Majer 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
81′
F. Folino 🔁
↦ F. Ceccherini
81′
90′
🟨 Andrea Ciofi
94′
S. Bastoni 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
23 F. Ceccherini D
15 M. Bianchetti D
4 T. Barbieri M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
27 J. Vandeputte M
7 Paulo Azzi M
90 F. Bonazzoli F
99 M. Nasti F
Bench (10)
9 M. De Luca
11 D. Johnsen
8 M. Valoti
37 Ž. Majer
55 F. Folino
25 D. Triacca
42 L. Moretti
98 L. Zanimacchia
30 J. Tånnander
12 G. Drago

Coach: G. Stroppa

Cesena

3-5-2
33 J. Klinsmann G
15 A. Ciofi D
19 G. Prestia D
24 M. Mangraviti D
17 E. Adamo M
8 D. Šarić M
35 G. Calò M
70 M. Francesconi M
13 R. Celia M
27 A. La Gumina F
91 F. Russo F
Bench (12)
23 M. Antonucci
14 T. Berti
30 S. Bastoni
9 C. Shpendi
20 E. Tavşan
71 G. Manetti
73 S. Pieraccini
79 E. Pitti
1 M. Pisseri
5 L. Mendicino
93 A. Siano
26 M. Piacentini

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U
3,43
B ✓
4,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.