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Serie B
Referee: D Ghersini
Cesena
T T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Cremonese
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cesena 6. · Cremonese 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 19 13 4 2 +23 43
2 Pisa 19 11 5 3 +14 38
3 Spezia 18 10 7 1 +18 37
4 Juve Stabia 18 7 7 4 +0 28
5 Cremonese 18 7 5 6 +4 26
6 Cesena 18 7 4 7 +2 25
7 Bari 18 5 9 4 +3 24
8 Catanzaro 18 4 11 3 +3 23
9 Modena 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Carrarese 18 6 5 7 -4 23
11 Mantova 18 5 7 6 -2 22
12 Palermo 18 5 6 7 +1 21
13 Brescia 18 5 6 7 -3 21
14 Cosenza 18 4 8 6 -3 20
15 Sampdoria 18 4 7 7 -6 19
16 Reggiana 18 4 6 8 -5 18
17 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Cittadella 18 4 6 8 -14 18
19 Sudtirol 18 5 2 11 -13 17
20 Frosinone 18 3 7 8 -12 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cesena Cremonese
Matteo Francesconi 🟨
16′
43′
🟨 Michele Castagnetti
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 J. Vandeputte
↦ F. Bonazzoli
59′
🔁 M. Nasti
↦ T. Milanese
60′
J. Vandeputte 0–1
F. Vázquez
E. Tavşan 🔁
↦ M. Francesconi
67′
68′
🔁 D. Johnsen
↦ F. Vázquez
A. Ciofi 🔁
↦ G. Prestia
75′
79′
🟨 Valentin Antov
84′
🟨 Tommaso Barbieri
85′
🔁 Ž. Majer
↦ M. Castagnetti
85′
🔁 L. Lochoshvili
↦ F. Ceccherini
S. van Hooijdonk 🔁
↦ M. Antonucci
89′
92′
🟨 Marco Nasti
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cesena

5-3-2
33 J. Klinsmann G
17 E. Adamo D
3 M. Curto D
19 G. Prestia D
24 M. Mangraviti D
13 R. Celia D
14 T. Berti M
35 G. Calò M
70 M. Francesconi M
23 M. Antonucci F
10 A. Kargbo F
Bench (11)
20 E. Tavşan
15 A. Ciofi
18 S. van Hooijdonk
93 A. Siano
26 M. Piacentini
73 S. Pieraccini
5 L. Mendicino
1 M. Pisseri
4 R. Chiarello
7 D. Donnarumma
8 S. Hraiech

Coach: M. Mignani

Cremonese

3-5-1-1
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
23 F. Ceccherini D
15 M. Bianchetti D
4 T. Barbieri M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
62 T. Milanese M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 F. Bonazzoli F
Bench (11)
27 J. Vandeputte
99 M. Nasti
11 D. Johnsen
37 Ž. Majer
44 L. Lochoshvili
22 A. Jungdal
10 C. Buonaiuto
3 G. Quagliata
17 L. Sernicola
9 M. De Luca
21 G. Saro

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,62
U
3,03
B ✓
2,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.