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Serie B
Referee: Antonio Rapuano
Cremonese
S S T S T
0–3
Full-time
Modena
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,39 xG 0,68
50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 9
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 17. · Modena 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.0 3
2 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.8 3
3 Modena 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
4 Mantova 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.3 3
5 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.8 3
6 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
7 Padova 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.4 3
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
9 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
10 Cesena 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
11 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
12 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0
13 Verona 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.8 0
14 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
15 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.3 0
16 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.8 0
17 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
18 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.4 0
19 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
20 Virtus Entella 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Modena
Simone Pontisso 🟨
18′
24′
🟨 Giacomo Olzer
Fabio Gerli 🟨
30′
31′
G. Olzer 0–1
G. Brugman
45′
G. Olzer 0–2
G. Ambrosino
Half-time 0–2
D. Lordkipanidze 🔁
↦ G. Pezzella
46′
M. Nasti 🔁
↦ F. Bonazzoli
46′
55′
G. Caso 0–3
G. Ambrosino
59′
🔁 P. Azzi
↦ G. Olzer
59′
🔁 A. Imputato
↦ G. Caso
F. Folino 🔁
↦ A. Vogliacco
64′
S. Lottici Tessadri 🔁
↦ F. Gerli
64′
T. Berti 🔁
↦ S. Pontisso
71′
78′
🔁 W. Acquah
↦ G. Brugman
87′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ F. Zampano
87′
🔁 D. Montevago
↦ G. Ambrosino
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 F. Agazzi
38 A. Vogliacco D
15 M. Bianchetti D
5 S. Luperto D
17 A. Lickunas M
16 F. Gerli M
20 S. Pontisso M
27 J. Vandeputte M
3 G. Pezzella M
90 F. Bonazzoli F
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (11)
12 M. Festa
59 R. Liberali
23 F. Folino
21 Y. Rocchetti
35 E. Cabianca
13 Fellipe Jack
14 T. Berti
25 D. Lordkipanidze
8 S. Lottici Tessadri
71 S. Elia
19 M. Nasti

Coach: Marco Giampaolo

Modena

4-3-3
1 L. Chichizola G
77 D. Tonoli D
6 S. Nador D
20 B. Nieling
7 F. Zampano D
42 A. Bianco M
16 G. Brugman M
8 S. Santoro M
72 G. Olzer F
70 G. Ambrosino F
10 G. Caso F
Bench (12)
12 A. Maran
22 L. Consiglio
28 D. Adorni
15 M. Odero
27 P. Azzi
2 G. Beyuku
17 K. Bozhanaj
26 A. Imputato
32 W. Acquah
11 P. Mendes
29 L. Bacchin
9 D. Montevago

Coach: Daniele Galloppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,03
B ✓
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Rapuano · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.