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Serie B
Referee: M Perri
Sudtirol
T S U T U
2–1
Full-time
Modena
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
9 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Apr -24 Modena – Sudtirol 1–0 26. Sep -23 Sudtirol – Modena 0–0 19. May -23 Modena – Sudtirol 2–1 26. Dec -22 Sudtirol – Modena 0–2

Match report

Sudtirol Modena
1–0 A. Mallamo ⚽
D. Casiraghi
6′
31′
🟨 Antonio Pergreffi
40′
⚽ K. Bozhanaj 1–1
A. Palumbo
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Cotali
↦ C. Cauz
47′
🟨 Ettore Gliozzi
Andrea Giorgini 🟨
54′
62′
🔁 F. Abiuso
↦ K. Bozhanaj
V. Crespi 🔁
↦ R. Odogwu
64′
F. Tait 🔁
↦ A. Mallamo
64′
M. Rover 🔁
↦ A. Cagnano
64′
J. Martini 🔁
↦ J. Kurtić
78′
81′
🔁 R. Idrissi
↦ E. Gliozzi
2–1 M. Rover ⚽
F. Tait
90′
94′
🟨 Antonio Palumbo
96′
ℹ️ Antonio Palumbo
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

5-4-1
1 G. Poluzzi G
79 S. Molina D
30 A. Giorgini D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
5 A. Masiello D
3 A. Cagnano D
8 A. Mallamo M
4 T. Arrigoni M
27 J. Kurtić M
17 D. Casiraghi M
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
9 V. Crespi
21 F. Tait
7 M. Rover
6 J. Martini
14 F. Davi
28 R. Kofler
19 N. Pietrangeli
12 G. Drago
68 A. Vimercati
11 K. Zedadka
26 A. Cisco
99 M. Praszelik

Coach: F. Valente

Modena

4-4-1-1
26 R. Gagno G
23 M. Caldara D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
33 C. Cauz D
6 L. Magnino M
5 T. Battistella M
16 F. Gerli M
21 K. Bozhanaj M
10 A. Palumbo F
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (10)
29 M. Cotali
90 F. Abiuso
27 R. Idrissi
24 M. Oliva
31 Eric Botteghin
2 G. Beyuku
42 L. Mondele
1 J. Sassi
7 E. Duca
78 F. Bagheria

Coach: P. Bisoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,79
🔒
U
3,00
🔒
B
2,67
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,43
🔒
U2,5
1,54
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Perri · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.