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Serie B

Referee: D Minelli

Modena

U U U T U

1–0

Full-time

Sudtirol

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 28%

24%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

44%

47%

Both score Ø 58%

62%

53%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

4 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 12. · Sudtirol 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	34	20	10	4	+27	70
2	Venezia	35	20	7	8	+24	67
3	Como	34	20	7	7	+17	67
4	Cremonese	35	17	9	9	+14	60
5	Catanzaro	35	16	9	10	+11	57
6	Palermo	34	14	10	10	+10	52
7	Sampdoria	34	13	8	13	-1	47
8	Brescia	34	11	13	10	+3	46
9	Pisa	35	11	12	12	-1	45
10	Cittadella	34	11	11	12	-3	44
11	Sudtirol	34	11	10	13	-1	43
12	Modena	34	8	16	10	-7	40
13	Reggiana	34	8	16	10	-8	40
14	Cosenza	34	9	12	13	+1	39
15	Ternana	34	9	10	15	-7	37
16	Bari	34	7	15	12	-10	36
17	Spezia	34	7	15	12	-15	36
18	Ascoli	34	7	13	14	-5	34
19	FeralpiSalo	34	8	7	19	-19	31
20	Lecco	34	6	8	20	-30	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	18	12	3	3	+15	39
2	Como	17	11	4	2	+12	37
3	Parma	17	10	6	1	+13	36
4	Catanzaro	17	8	4	5	+7	28
5	Palermo	17	8	3	6	+7	27
6	Cremonese	17	7	5	5	+7	26
7	Brescia	17	6	7	4	+4	25
8	Pisa	18	6	7	5	+3	25
9	Cittadella	17	7	4	6	+3	25
10	Sudtirol	17	6	5	6	+2	23
11	Bari	17	5	8	4	+0	23
12	Sampdoria	17	6	3	8	-1	21
13	Ascoli	17	4	8	5	+3	20
14	Spezia	17	4	8	5	-1	20
15	Modena	17	5	5	7	-3	20
16	Ternana	17	4	7	6	+0	19
17	Cosenza	17	4	6	7	+1	18
18	Reggiana	17	2	10	5	-9	16
19	Lecco	17	4	2	11	-13	14
20	FeralpiSalo	17	3	4	10	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	17	10	4	3	+14	34
2	Cremonese	18	10	4	4	+7	34
3	Como	17	9	3	5	+5	30
4	Catanzaro	18	8	5	5	+4	29
5	Venezia	17	8	4	5	+9	28
6	Sampdoria	17	7	5	5	+0	26
7	Palermo	17	6	7	4	+3	25
8	Reggiana	17	6	6	5	+1	24
9	Cosenza	17	5	6	6	+0	21
10	Brescia	17	5	6	6	-1	21
11	Sudtirol	17	5	5	7	-3	20
12	Pisa	17	5	5	7	-4	20
13	Modena	17	3	11	3	-4	20
14	Cittadella	17	4	7	6	-6	19
15	Ternana	17	5	3	9	-7	18
16	FeralpiSalo	17	5	3	9	-11	18
17	Spezia	17	3	7	7	-14	16
18	Ascoli	17	3	5	9	-8	14
19	Bari	17	2	7	8	-10	13
20	Lecco	17	2	6	9	-17	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.