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Coppa Italia
Referee: M Caputi
Venezia
U S S U S
3–2
Full-time
Modena
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%
23 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Monza 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Parma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Arezzo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
6 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Cagliari 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Benevento 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Vicenza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Catania 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Padova 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Ravenna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Potenza 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Union Brescia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Feb -26 Venezia – Modena 0–2 20. Dec -25 Modena – Venezia 1–2 18. Feb -24 Venezia – Modena 2–2 30. Sep -23 Modena – Venezia 1–3 1. May -23 Venezia – Modena 5–0

Match report

Venezia Modena
17′
⚽ G. Ambrosino 0–1
A. Imputato
1–1 A. Adams ⚽
26′
39′
⚽ G. Ambrosino 1–2
G. Caso
Half-time 1–2
T. Rendall 🔁
↦ R. Haps
58′
S. Panada 🔁
↦ S. Sohm
58′
68′
🔁 A. Bianco
↦ G. Brugman
72′
🟨 Giacomo Olzer
R. Sagrado 🔁
↦ A. Hainaut
74′
A. Rrahmani 🔁
↦ K. Perez
74′
74′
🔁 P. Mendes
↦ G. Caso
74′
🔁 Stenio
↦ G. Ambrosino
79′
🟨 Daniel Tonoli
Richie Sagrado 🟨
82′
2–2 J. Yeboah ⚽
A. Adams
83′
3–2 A. Adams ⚽
85′
86′
🔁 D. Montevago
↦ A. Imputato
L. Fanne 🔁
↦ J. Yeboah
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Venezia

4-4-2
1 F. Stankovic G
3 J. Schingtienne D
17 A. Bella-Kotchap D
25 R. Halhal D
5 R. Haps D
18 A. Hainaut M
71 K. Perez M
6 G. Busio M
19 S. Sohm M
45 A. Adams F
10 J. Yeboah F
Bench (15)
23 M. Grandi
28 A. Pozzi
14 T. Rendall
20 R. Sagrado
2 M. Moreno
95 A. Gomes
21 T. J. Helgason
4 B. Franjic
55 S. Panada
90 A. Okoro
8 L. Fanne
29 L. Lauberbach
11 M. Farji
56 K. Lisman
7 A. Rrahmani

Coach: Giovanni Stroppa

Modena

4-4-2
1 L. Chichizola G
77 D. Tonoli D
6 S. Nador D
20 B. Nieling
7 F. Zampano D
26 A. Imputato
8 S. Santoro M
16 G. Brugman M
10 G. Caso M
72 G. Olzer F
70 G. Ambrosino F
Bench (14)
12 A. Maran
22 L. Consiglio
28 D. Adorni
15 M. Odero
2 G. Beyuku
17 K. Bozhanaj
42 A. Bianco
14 T. M. Fabbri
73 P. Arnaboldi
37 T. Egharevba
11 P. Mendes
29 L. Bacchin
33 Stenio
9 D. Montevago

Coach: Daniele Galloppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Caputi · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.