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Serie B
Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi
Sudtirol
T U U U U
1–0
Full-time
Virtus Entella
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Virtus Entella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,97 xG 0,56
48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -26 Sudtirol – Virtus Entella 0–1 21. Dec -25 Virtus Entella – Sudtirol 1–1

Match report

Sudtirol Virtus Entella
Aljoša Vasić 🟨
30′
Giacomo Stabile 🟥
44′
Half-time 0–0
D. Veroli 🔁
↦ N. Pyyhtia
46′
F. Rispoli 🔁
↦ A. Vasic
46′
R. Burnete 🔁
↦ V. Lopes
57′
61′
🔁 Lucas Martello
↦ N. Squizzato
Silvio Merkaj 🟨
68′
77′
🔁 M. Tirelli
↦ T. Annoni
77′
🔁 G. Corona
↦ F. Forte
S. Davi 🔁
↦ B. Bjarkason
83′
85′
🟨 Bernat Guiu
87′
🔁 I. Marconi
↦ L. Parodi
88′
🔁 M. Valori
↦ B. Guiu
Simone Davì 🟨
90′
1–0 S. Davi ⚽
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sudtirol

5-4-1
22 A. Plizzari G
79 S. Molina D
4 R. Stivanello D
55 A. Giorgini D
27 G. Stabile
20 B. Bjarkason D
11 V. Lopes M
8 N. Pyyhtia M
5 S. Tronchin M
14 A. Vasic M
33 S. Merkaj F
Bench (12)
12 R. Vadjunec
23 F. Davi
24 S. Davi
3 D. Veroli
39 M. Iuliano
21 F. Tait
6 J. Martini
46 D. Brik
10 F. Rispoli
25 K. Mixtur
9 R. Burnete
80 E. Schroot

Coach: Fabrizio Castori

Virtus Entella

5-4-1
22 F. Del Frate G
3 N. Previtali D
23 L. Parodi D
6 A. Tiritiello D
27 M. Alborghetti D
26 S. Di Mario D
18 T. Annoni M
5 N. Squizzato M
24 A. Franzoni M
11 B. Guiu M
32 F. Forte F
Bench (11)
12 E. Torrielli
91 S. Colombi
16 R. Turicchia
15 I. Marconi
39 M. Motolese
80 L. Benedetti
55 Lucas Martello
28 M. Valori
17 M. Tirelli
10 L. Cuppone
9 G. Corona

Coach: Andrea Chiappella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
🔒
U
3,03
🔒
B
3,77
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,49
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,49
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.