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Coppa Italia
Referee: C G Allegretta
Catanzaro
S S T T S
2–2
Full-time
Sudtirol
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Monza 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Parma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Arezzo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
6 Cagliari 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Benevento 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Vicenza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Catania 2 0 1 1 -2 1
10 Ravenna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
11 Potenza 1 0 0 1 -2 0
12 Union Brescia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Jan -26 Sudtirol – Catanzaro 2–1 24. Aug -25 Catanzaro – Sudtirol 1–1 12. Jan -25 Sudtirol – Catanzaro 1–1 27. Oct -24 Catanzaro – Sudtirol 3–0 17. Feb -24 Catanzaro – Sudtirol 2–2

Match report

Catanzaro Sudtirol
17′
⚽ N. Pyyhtia 0–1
1–1 S. Pafundi ⚽
M. D'Alessandro
27′
40′
🟨 Federico Davi
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Molina
↦ F. Davi
2–1 P. Iemmello ⚽
53′
M. Dorval 🔁
↦ M. D'Alessandro
62′
68′
🔁 S. Davi
↦ B. Bjarkason
68′
🔁 K. Mixtur
↦ R. Burnete
Matias Antonini 🟨
69′
R. Frosinini 🔁
↦ B. Verrengia
73′
N. Buso 🔁
↦ S. Pafundi
73′
80′
🔁 D. Casiraghi
↦ A. Vasic
E. Bashi 🔁
↦ M. Ruggero
81′
G. Arditi 🔁
↦ P. Iemmello
81′
85′
⚽ K. Mixtur 2–2
S. Tronchin
88′
🟨 Vasco Lopes
Gabriele Alesi 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Catanzaro

3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
24 M. Ruggero D
4 Matias Antonini D
26 B. Verrengia D
27 A. Candela M
98 N. Mosti M
10 J. Petriccione M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
20 S. Pafundi F
30 G. Alesi F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (15)
99 E. Borrelli
1 C. Marietta
6 N. Postiglione
5 E. Bashi
93 M. Dorval
87 G. Esteves
94 R. Tassoni
62 R. Frosinini
80 F. Reita
18 A. Garnica
28 F. Tchaouna
7 N. Buso
17 G. Volpe
61 S. Seha
91 G. Arditi

Coach: Giorgio Gorgone

Sudtirol

5-3-2
22 A. Plizzari G
23 F. Davi D
4 R. Stivanello D
27 G. Stabile
3 D. Veroli D
20 B. Bjarkason D
11 V. Lopes M
8 N. Pyyhtia M
5 S. Tronchin M
9 R. Burnete F
14 A. Vasic F
Bench (13)
31 M. Adamonis
12 R. Vadjunec
13 M. Varnier
24 S. Davi
39 M. Iuliano
79 S. Molina
21 F. Tait
6 J. Martini
46 D. Brik
17 D. Casiraghi
26 M. R. Frigerio
25 K. Mixtur
80 E. Schroot

Coach: Fabrizio Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C G Allegretta · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.