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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

LKS Lodz

T S T T T

2–2

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LKS Lodz Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

0,7

2,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 48%

25%

71%

Points per game

0,8

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

38%

86%

Both score Ø 48%

25%

71%

Average goals

2,0

3,6

Scored

0,5

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%

6 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match LKS Lodz 18. · Jagiellonia 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	8	5	1	2	+6	-0.8	16
2	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+5	+3.8	15
3	Legia	6	4	2	0	+9	-0.2	14
4	Rakow	6	4	1	1	+7	+4.4	13
5	Zaglebie	8	4	1	3	-1	+1.0	13
6	Stal Mielec	8	3	3	2	+3	-2.8	12
7	Lech Poznan	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.4	11
8	Widzew Lodz	9	3	2	4	-2	-2.3	11
9	Cracovia	7	2	4	1	+0	-0.2	10
10	Radomiak Radom	8	3	1	4	-1	-1.6	10
11	Warta Poznan	8	2	3	3	+0	+0.9	9
12	Piast Gliwice	8	1	6	1	+0	+9.7	9
13	Pogon Szczecin	7	3	0	4	-2	+4.8	9
14	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	3	3	-5	-6.4	9
15	Puszcza	8	2	1	5	-7	-5.4	7
16	Korona Kielce	8	1	3	4	-3	-1.8	6
17	Ruch Chorzow	8	1	3	4	-4	-1.7	6
18	LKS Lodz	8	2	0	6	-8	–	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	5	4	1	0	+8	+4.4	13
2	Legia	4	4	0	0	+9	+2.0	12
3	Jagiellonia	4	4	0	0	+8	+5.7	12
4	Stal Mielec	5	3	2	0	+6	-1.4	11
5	Zaglebie	4	3	1	0	+3	+1.5	10
6	Widzew Lodz	4	3	0	1	+2	+1.2	9
7	Puszcza	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.4	7
8	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.4	6
9	LKS Lodz	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
10	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.0	6
11	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.1	5
12	Cracovia	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.0	5
13	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	+5.8	5
14	Warta Poznan	5	1	2	2	-1	+0.7	5
15	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.5	5
16	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
17	Ruch Chorzow	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.2	4
18	Radomiak Radom	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	5	3	1	1	+4	-0.5	10
2	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
3	Radomiak Radom	5	2	0	3	-1	+0.4	6
4	Cracovia	4	1	2	1	-1	+0.8	5
5	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.2	4
6	Piast Gliwice	4	0	4	0	+0	+3.9	4
7	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.8	4
8	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.2	3
9	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.9	3
10	Zaglebie	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.6	3
11	Legia	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
12	Widzew Lodz	5	0	2	3	-4	-3.5	2
13	Ruch Chorzow	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.5	2
14	Stal Mielec	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.4	1
15	Korona Kielce	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.9	1
16	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Puszcza	4	0	0	4	-7	-4.0	0
18	LKS Lodz	5	0	0	5	-8	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.