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Allsvenskan

Referee: Oscar Johnson

Mjallby

S S S U S

2–0

Full-time

Elfsborg

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjallby Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 58%

72%

44%

Points per game

2,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

44%

60%

Both score Ø 56%

60%

52%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,26 xG 0,19

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mjallby 1. · Elfsborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	25	18	6	1	+28	+3.1	60
2	Hammarby	25	15	4	6	+24	+16.7	49
3	AIK	25	12	8	5	+8	+6.7	44
4	Goteborg	25	14	2	9	+6	+3.9	44
5	Malmo FF	25	11	9	5	+16	+14.5	42
6	GAIS	25	11	9	5	+12	+11.6	42
7	Djurgarden	25	11	8	6	+15	+6.0	41
8	Elfsborg	25	11	4	10	+2	+0.2	37
9	Brommapojkarna	25	9	2	14	-1	-3.0	29
10	Hacken	25	8	5	12	-9	+3.3	29
11	Norrkoping	25	8	5	12	-10	-9.5	29
12	Halmstad	25	8	4	13	-23	-12.8	28
13	Sirius	25	7	5	13	-9	-1.0	26
14	Oster	25	5	7	13	-15	-14.7	22
15	Degerfors	25	6	4	15	-21	-6.6	22
16	Varnamo	25	2	6	17	-23	-18.3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	13	10	1	2	+20	+14.2	31
2	Mjallby	12	8	4	0	+13	+4.6	28
3	AIK	12	7	5	0	+12	+4.9	26
4	Malmo FF	13	6	4	3	+8	+10.6	22
5	Djurgarden	13	5	6	2	+10	+5.3	21
6	GAIS	12	6	3	3	+6	+7.5	21
7	Elfsborg	13	6	3	4	+5	+1.1	21
8	Goteborg	12	6	1	5	+4	+3.3	19
9	Halmstad	13	5	2	6	-10	-5.6	17
10	Norrkoping	13	5	1	7	-5	-1.3	16
11	Sirius	12	4	2	6	+0	+2.0	14
12	Hacken	13	4	2	7	-6	+5.7	14
13	Brommapojkarna	12	4	0	8	-3	-0.4	12
14	Varnamo	13	2	4	7	-9	-7.8	10
15	Oster	12	2	3	7	-8	-6.2	9
16	Degerfors	12	1	3	8	-14	-1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	13	10	2	1	+15	-1.6	32
2	Goteborg	13	8	1	4	+2	+0.6	25
3	GAIS	13	5	6	2	+6	+4.1	21
4	Malmo FF	12	5	5	2	+8	+3.9	20
5	Djurgarden	12	6	2	4	+5	+0.6	20
6	Hammarby	12	5	3	4	+4	+2.6	18
7	AIK	13	5	3	5	-4	+1.9	18
8	Brommapojkarna	13	5	2	6	+2	-2.6	17
9	Elfsborg	12	5	1	6	-3	-0.9	16
10	Degerfors	13	5	1	7	-7	-5.6	16
11	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.4	15
12	Norrkoping	12	3	4	5	-5	-8.3	13
13	Oster	13	3	4	6	-7	-8.6	13
14	Sirius	13	3	3	7	-9	-3.0	12
15	Halmstad	12	3	2	7	-13	-7.2	11
16	Varnamo	12	0	2	10	-14	-10.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.