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Allsvenskan

Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

Goteborg

U S S T S

1–2

Full-time

Hammarby

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 58%

56%

60%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,19 xG 2,72

51% Possession 49%

9 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 9

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goteborg 5. · Hammarby 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	26	19	6	1	+30	+5.1	63
2	Hammarby	25	15	4	6	+24	+16.7	49
3	GAIS	26	12	9	5	+13	+14.0	45
4	AIK	25	12	8	5	+8	+6.7	44
5	Goteborg	25	14	2	9	+6	+3.9	44
6	Malmo FF	25	11	9	5	+16	+14.5	42
7	Djurgarden	26	11	9	6	+15	+5.9	42
8	Elfsborg	26	11	4	11	+0	-1.9	37
9	Brommapojkarna	25	9	2	14	-1	-3.0	29
10	Hacken	25	8	5	12	-9	+3.3	29
11	Norrkoping	26	8	5	13	-11	-11.9	29
12	Halmstad	26	8	4	14	-26	-12.8	28
13	Sirius	25	7	5	13	-9	-1.0	26
14	Oster	26	6	7	13	-12	-14.7	25
15	Degerfors	26	6	5	15	-21	-6.6	23
16	Varnamo	25	2	6	17	-23	-18.3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	13	10	1	2	+20	+14.2	31
2	Mjallby	13	9	4	0	+15	+6.7	31
3	AIK	12	7	5	0	+12	+4.9	26
4	GAIS	13	7	3	3	+7	+9.9	24
5	Malmo FF	13	6	4	3	+8	+10.6	22
6	Djurgarden	13	5	6	2	+10	+5.3	21
7	Elfsborg	13	6	3	4	+5	+1.1	21
8	Goteborg	12	6	1	5	+4	+3.3	19
9	Halmstad	13	5	2	6	-10	-5.6	17
10	Norrkoping	13	5	1	7	-5	-1.3	16
11	Sirius	12	4	2	6	+0	+2.0	14
12	Hacken	13	4	2	7	-6	+5.7	14
13	Brommapojkarna	12	4	0	8	-3	-0.4	12
14	Oster	13	3	3	7	-5	-6.2	12
15	Varnamo	13	2	4	7	-9	-7.8	10
16	Degerfors	13	1	4	8	-14	-1.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	13	10	2	1	+15	-1.6	32
2	Goteborg	13	8	1	4	+2	+0.6	25
3	GAIS	13	5	6	2	+6	+4.1	21
4	Djurgarden	13	6	3	4	+5	+0.6	21
5	Malmo FF	12	5	5	2	+8	+3.9	20
6	Hammarby	12	5	3	4	+4	+2.6	18
7	AIK	13	5	3	5	-4	+1.9	18
8	Brommapojkarna	13	5	2	6	+2	-2.6	17
9	Elfsborg	13	5	1	7	-5	-3.0	16
10	Degerfors	13	5	1	7	-7	-5.6	16
11	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.4	15
12	Norrkoping	13	3	4	6	-6	-10.6	13
13	Oster	13	3	4	6	-7	-8.6	13
14	Sirius	13	3	3	7	-9	-3.0	12
15	Halmstad	13	3	2	8	-16	-7.2	11
16	Varnamo	12	0	2	10	-14	-10.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.