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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Sirius

S T T S S

3–2

Full-time

Degerfors

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,8

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

54%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,59 xG 1,72

59% Possession 41%

22 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 14. · Degerfors 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	24	16	4	4	+30	+6.9	52
2	Elfsborg	24	16	3	5	+26	+4.0	51
3	Hacken	24	15	2	7	+25	+2.2	47
4	Djurgarden	25	13	4	8	+6	+2.3	43
5	Norrkoping	25	11	5	9	+6	+4.8	38
6	Hammarby	24	11	5	8	+2	+4.4	38
7	Kalmar	25	10	6	9	-4	-4.4	36
8	Mjallby	24	10	4	10	-1	-5.6	34
9	Varnamo	24	10	2	12	-1	+0.8	32
10	Goteborg	24	7	8	9	-1	-1.5	29
11	Halmstad	25	8	5	12	-17	-3.5	29
12	AIK	24	7	7	10	-2	+3.2	28
13	Brommapojkarna	24	8	3	13	-9	-1.7	27
14	Sirius	24	7	5	12	+0	+6.0	26
15	Degerfors	24	7	2	15	-28	-8.6	23
16	Varberg	24	3	5	16	-32	-9.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	12	11	0	1	+24	-0.2	33
2	Djurgarden	13	10	1	2	+12	+3.9	31
3	Malmo FF	12	8	3	1	+20	+2.1	27
4	Elfsborg	12	8	2	2	+16	+0.5	26
5	Hammarby	11	8	1	2	+8	+2.2	25
6	Kalmar	12	6	3	3	+0	-2.3	21
7	Norrkoping	13	6	2	5	+2	+0.2	20
8	Goteborg	12	5	3	4	+8	-0.0	18
9	AIK	12	4	5	3	+4	+3.4	17
10	Degerfors	13	5	2	6	-3	-2.4	17
11	Halmstad	12	4	3	5	-6	-1.8	15
12	Brommapojkarna	12	4	2	6	-2	+0.4	14
13	Sirius	12	4	1	7	+4	+6.4	13
14	Varnamo	12	4	1	7	-3	+1.0	13
15	Mjallby	12	3	3	6	-3	-5.7	12
16	Varberg	12	1	3	8	-18	-1.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	12	8	1	3	+10	+3.5	25
2	Malmo FF	12	8	1	3	+10	+4.8	25
3	Mjallby	12	7	1	4	+2	+0.1	22
4	Varnamo	12	6	1	5	+2	-0.2	19
5	Norrkoping	12	5	3	4	+4	+4.6	18
6	Kalmar	13	4	3	6	-4	-2.1	15
7	Hacken	12	4	2	6	+1	+2.5	14
8	Halmstad	13	4	2	7	-11	-1.8	14
9	Sirius	12	3	4	5	-4	-0.4	13
10	Hammarby	13	3	4	6	-6	+2.2	13
11	Brommapojkarna	12	4	1	7	-7	-2.1	13
12	Djurgarden	12	3	3	6	-6	-1.6	12
13	AIK	12	3	2	7	-6	-0.2	11
14	Goteborg	12	2	5	5	-9	-1.4	11
15	Varberg	12	2	2	8	-14	-7.8	8
16	Degerfors	11	2	0	9	-25	-6.2	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.