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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

Goteborg

S U S S U

0–1

Full-time

Sirius

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,3

Scored

1,8

3,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

28%

32%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

36%

64%

Both score Ø 48%

44%

52%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,90 xG 0,88

57% Possession 43%

21 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goteborg 11. · Sirius 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	25	17	4	4	+31	+6.9	55
2	Elfsborg	25	17	3	5	+27	+4.0	54
3	Hacken	25	16	2	7	+27	+6.3	50
4	Djurgarden	25	13	4	8	+6	+2.3	43
5	Hammarby	25	11	6	8	+2	+3.8	39
6	Norrkoping	25	11	5	9	+6	+4.8	38
7	Kalmar	25	10	6	9	-4	-4.4	36
8	Varnamo	25	11	2	12	+0	-0.1	35
9	Mjallby	26	10	4	12	-3	-5.0	34
10	AIK	26	8	7	11	-3	-0.5	31
11	Goteborg	25	7	9	9	-1	-0.9	30
12	Halmstad	26	8	6	12	-17	-2.4	30
13	Sirius	25	8	5	12	+1	+6.9	29
14	Brommapojkarna	25	8	3	14	-10	-1.7	27
15	Degerfors	26	7	3	16	-29	-10.6	24
16	Varberg	25	3	5	17	-33	-9.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	13	12	0	1	+26	+3.9	36
2	Djurgarden	13	10	1	2	+12	+3.9	31
3	Malmo FF	13	9	3	1	+21	+2.1	30
4	Elfsborg	13	9	2	2	+17	+0.5	29
5	Hammarby	12	8	2	2	+8	+1.6	26
6	Kalmar	12	6	3	3	+0	-2.3	21
7	AIK	13	5	5	3	+5	+3.7	20
8	Norrkoping	13	6	2	5	+2	+0.2	20
9	Goteborg	12	5	3	4	+8	-0.0	18
10	Degerfors	13	5	2	6	-3	-2.4	17
11	Sirius	13	5	1	7	+5	+7.3	16
12	Halmstad	13	4	4	5	-6	-0.6	16
13	Brommapojkarna	12	4	2	6	-2	+0.4	14
14	Varnamo	12	4	1	7	-3	+1.0	13
15	Mjallby	13	3	3	7	-4	-4.8	12
16	Varberg	12	1	3	8	-18	-1.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	12	8	1	3	+10	+3.5	25
2	Malmo FF	12	8	1	3	+10	+4.8	25
3	Varnamo	13	7	1	5	+3	-1.1	22
4	Mjallby	13	7	1	5	+1	-0.2	22
5	Norrkoping	12	5	3	4	+4	+4.6	18
6	Kalmar	13	4	3	6	-4	-2.1	15
7	Hacken	12	4	2	6	+1	+2.5	14
8	Halmstad	13	4	2	7	-11	-1.8	14
9	Sirius	12	3	4	5	-4	-0.4	13
10	Hammarby	13	3	4	6	-6	+2.2	13
11	Brommapojkarna	13	4	1	8	-8	-2.1	13
12	Djurgarden	12	3	3	6	-6	-1.6	12
13	Goteborg	13	2	6	5	-9	-0.8	12
14	AIK	13	3	2	8	-8	-4.2	11
15	Varberg	13	2	2	9	-15	-7.8	8
16	Degerfors	13	2	1	10	-26	-8.2	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.