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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
0–3
Full-time
Elfsborg
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 50%
32%
68%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
60%
52%
Both score Ø 48%
56%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,81 xG 2,02
57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 14. · Elfsborg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 25 17 4 4 +31 +6.9 55
2 Elfsborg 25 17 3 5 +27 +4.0 54
3 Hacken 25 16 2 7 +27 +6.3 50
4 Djurgarden 25 13 4 8 +6 +2.3 43
5 Hammarby 25 11 6 8 +2 +3.8 39
6 Norrkoping 25 11 5 9 +6 +4.8 38
7 Kalmar 25 10 6 9 -4 -4.4 36
8 Varnamo 25 11 2 12 +0 -0.1 35
9 Mjallby 26 10 4 12 -3 -5.0 34
10 Sirius 26 9 5 12 +2 +6.9 32
11 AIK 26 8 7 11 -3 -0.5 31
12 Goteborg 26 7 9 10 -2 -0.9 30
13 Halmstad 26 8 6 12 -17 -2.4 30
14 Brommapojkarna 25 8 3 14 -10 -1.7 27
15 Degerfors 26 7 3 16 -29 -10.6 24
16 Varberg 25 3 5 17 -33 -9.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.