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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Varberg

T T T S T

4–3

Full-time

Brommapojkarna

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Brommapojkarna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 24%

10%

38%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

52%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,04 xG 2,03

41% Possession 59%

18 Shots 22

8 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varberg 16. · Brommapojkarna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	22	15	3	4	+28	+5.2	48
2	Malmo FF	21	14	3	4	+27	+4.7	45
3	Hacken	22	14	2	6	+25	+2.2	44
4	Djurgarden	21	11	4	6	+6	+1.4	37
5	Hammarby	22	10	5	7	+3	+2.7	35
6	Norrkoping	21	10	4	7	+9	+6.3	34
7	Mjallby	22	9	4	9	-2	-5.9	31
8	Kalmar	22	8	6	8	-7	-4.0	30
9	Varnamo	22	9	2	11	-1	+2.5	29
10	Halmstad	22	8	5	9	-14	-3.7	29
11	Brommapojkarna	21	8	2	11	-7	+0.6	26
12	Degerfors	22	7	2	13	-25	-6.9	23
13	Goteborg	21	5	7	9	-3	-3.7	22
14	AIK	22	5	7	10	-6	+1.5	22
15	Sirius	22	5	5	12	-8	+1.8	20
16	Varberg	21	2	5	14	-25	-4.8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	11	10	0	1	+23	+0.5	30
2	Djurgarden	11	9	1	1	+12	+1.7	28
3	Malmo FF	11	8	2	1	+20	+2.1	26
4	Elfsborg	11	8	2	1	+19	+1.1	26
5	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+10	+2.6	25
6	Kalmar	11	5	3	3	-1	-1.5	18
7	Norrkoping	10	5	2	3	+5	+1.3	17
8	Degerfors	12	5	2	5	-2	-0.6	17
9	Goteborg	11	4	3	4	+7	-1.8	15
10	Halmstad	11	4	3	4	-5	-2.3	15
11	Brommapojkarna	11	4	1	6	-2	-0.1	13
12	Varnamo	11	4	1	6	-2	+1.6	13
13	Mjallby	11	3	3	5	-2	-5.3	12
14	AIK	10	2	5	3	+0	+1.6	11
15	Sirius	11	3	1	7	-3	+2.8	10
16	Varberg	10	0	3	7	-18	-0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	11	7	1	3	+9	+4.0	22
2	Malmo FF	10	6	1	3	+7	+2.6	19
3	Mjallby	11	6	1	4	+0	-0.6	19
4	Norrkoping	11	5	2	4	+4	+5.0	17
5	Varnamo	11	5	1	5	+1	+0.9	16
6	Hacken	11	4	2	5	+2	+1.7	14
7	Halmstad	11	4	2	5	-9	-1.4	14
8	Brommapojkarna	10	4	1	5	-5	+0.7	13
9	Kalmar	11	3	3	5	-6	-2.4	12
10	AIK	12	3	2	7	-6	-0.2	11
11	Sirius	11	2	4	5	-5	-1.0	10
12	Hammarby	12	2	4	6	-7	+0.2	10
13	Djurgarden	10	2	3	5	-6	-0.3	9
14	Varberg	11	2	2	7	-7	-4.1	8
15	Goteborg	10	1	4	5	-10	-1.8	7
16	Degerfors	10	2	0	8	-23	-6.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.