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Superligaen
Referee: Aydin Uslu
Brondby
T U S S S
3–1
Full-time
Silkeborg
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,14 xG 0,99
56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 3. · Silkeborg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viborg 5 3 1 1 +5 +2.2 10
2 Nordsjaelland 4 3 1 0 +5 +6.9 10
3 Brondby 4 3 1 0 +4 -1.0 10
4 Midtjylland 4 3 1 0 +3 +1.9 10
5 FC Copenhagen 4 3 0 1 +3 -0.9 9
6 Horsens 5 2 1 2 -1 -4.5 7
7 Odense 5 1 1 3 -2 -1.0 4
8 Silkeborg 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.1 4
9 Randers FC 5 1 1 3 -4 -4.2 4
10 Aarhus 4 0 3 1 -1 +1.3 3
11 Lyngby 5 0 2 3 -4 +3.8 2
12 Sonderjyske 5 0 1 4 -6 -3.5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Silkeborg
Mats Köhlert 🟨
6′
7′
ℹ️ Lucas Riisgaard
VAR: Penalty cancelled
13′
ℹ️ Lucas Riisgaard
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Luis Binks 🟨
17′
32′
🟨 William Møller
44′
C. McCowatt 0–1
Half-time 0–1
F. Bundgaard 🔁
↦ O. Hyseni
46′
1–1 J. Vanlerberghe
L. Binks
51′
2–1 O. Fenger
M. Younis
54′
P. Mortensen 🔁
↦ O. Fenger
57′
Mads Frøkjær 🟨
68′
S. Fukuda 🔁
↦ M. Younis
71′
71′
🔁 P. Ganchas
↦ J. Gammelby
71′
🔁 W. Kirk
↦ R. Al Hajj
71′
🔁 A. Simmelhack
↦ O. Ross
M. Divkovic 🔁
↦ M. Kohlert
72′
72′
🔁 S. Berger
↦ W. Lokke
79′
🔁 Y. Bakiz
↦ L. Riisgaard
86′
🟨 Alexander Priesborg
3–1 L. Binks
M. Divkovic
87′
F. Alves 🔁
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
88′
93′
🟨 Callum McCowatt
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Brondby

4-2-3-1
1 P. Pentz G
2 O. Villadsen D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
4 L. Binks D
27 M. Kohlert D
99 B. Slisz M
18 M. Ejdum M
21 M. Younis M
29 M. Frokjaer-Jensen M
7 O. Hyseni M
51 O. Fenger F
Bench (9)
50 W. Sonne Schmid
3 C. Olivier
24 M. Divkovic
32 F. Alves
37 R. Canut
10 D. Wass
9 P. Mortensen
11 F. Bundgaard
19 S. Fukuda

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Silkeborg

3-4-2-1
1 A. Andresen G
24 A. Priesborg D
3 R. Ostrom D
29 W. Lokke
7 V. Westh M
20 M. Larsen M
17 C. McCowatt M
19 J. Gammelby M
21 L. Riisgaard F
11 O. Ross F
22 R. Al Hajj F
Bench (9)
16 B. Holm
2 A. Poulsen
4 P. Ganchas
36 J. Lorets
10 Y. Bakiz
14 S. Berger
27 W. Kirk
9 A. Simmelhack
23 M. Hansen

Coach: Morten Dahm Kjaergaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Aydin Uslu · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.