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Superligaen

Referee: J Kehlet

Viborg

S S T T S

2–1

Full-time

Fredericia

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Fredericia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,9

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,61 xG 1,05

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 14

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viborg 11. · Fredericia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	10	6	2	2	+10	+8.2	20
2	Aarhus	9	6	2	1	+10	+4.5	20
3	Midtjylland	9	5	3	1	+11	+1.6	18
4	Brondby	9	5	0	4	+1	+3.8	15
5	Randers FC	9	4	1	4	-2	-0.2	13
6	Nordsjaelland	9	4	0	5	-5	-0.5	12
7	Sonderjyske	10	3	2	5	-3	-5.6	11
8	Fredericia	9	3	2	4	-3	-5.4	11
9	Odense	9	3	2	4	-6	+4.6	11
10	Silkeborg	9	3	1	5	-6	-2.8	10
11	Viborg	9	3	0	6	-4	-2.5	9
12	Vejle	9	1	3	5	-3	-5.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+8	+4.0	11
2	Aarhus	5	3	1	1	+4	+6.7	10
3	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+1	+1.7	9
4	Odense	5	3	0	2	-1	+3.3	9
5	Sonderjyske	5	2	1	2	+1	-3.9	7
6	Fredericia	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.0	7
7	Silkeborg	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.0	6
8	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.4	6
9	Randers FC	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.8	6
10	FC Copenhagen	4	1	2	1	+1	+5.3	5
11	Vejle	5	1	2	2	+1	-2.4	5
12	Viborg	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.9	15
2	Aarhus	4	3	1	0	+6	-2.2	10
3	Midtjylland	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.4	7
4	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.6	7
5	Brondby	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.1	6
6	Viborg	5	2	0	3	-2	-0.5	6
7	Nordsjaelland	5	2	0	3	-4	-3.0	6
8	Fredericia	4	1	1	2	-2	-4.5	4
9	Sonderjyske	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.7	4
10	Silkeborg	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.8	4
11	Odense	4	0	2	2	-5	+1.4	2
12	Vejle	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.