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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid
Sp Gijon
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Santander
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
63%
100%
Both score Ø 76%
63%
88%
Average goals
3,1
4,4
Scored
1,4
2,6
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sp Gijon 16. · Santander 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 8 4 4 0 +11 16
2 Santander 8 5 1 2 +7 16
3 Cadiz 8 4 3 1 +3 15
4 Las Palmas 9 4 3 2 +3 15
5 Almeria 9 4 3 2 +2 15
6 Andorra 9 4 2 3 +0 14
7 Huesca 8 4 1 3 -2 13
8 Burgos 8 3 3 2 +4 +3.1 12
9 Valladolid 8 3 3 2 +3 +2.3 12
10 Ceuta 9 3 3 3 -4 -2.3 12
11 Eibar 8 3 2 3 +3 11
12 Castellon 8 3 2 3 +1 11
13 Leganes 9 2 5 2 +1 11
14 Albacete 9 2 4 3 -2 10
15 Sociedad B 9 2 3 4 -2 9
16 Sp Gijon 8 3 0 5 -3 9
17 Mirandes 9 2 3 4 -3 9
18 Cordoba 8 2 3 3 -3 9
19 Granada 9 2 3 4 -4 9
20 Malaga 8 2 2 4 -4 8
21 Cultural Leonesa 8 2 2 4 -5 -3.1 8
22 Zaragoza 9 1 3 5 -6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Santander
-5′
🟥 Clément Michelin
1–0 J. Dubasin
G. Rosas
14′
27′
🟨 Jorge Salinas
36′
🟨 Pablo Ramón
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Puerta
↦ A. Aldasoro
60′
🔁 Jeremy Arevalo
↦ A. Villalibre
61′
🔁 M. Garcia
↦ J. Salinas
2–0 P. Vazquez
64′
75′
Jeremy Arevalo 2–1
A. Martin
76′
🔁 J. Arana
↦ M. Gueye
77′
🟨 Gustavo Puerta
P. Garcia 🔁
↦ G. Campos
78′
N. Martin 🔁
↦ C. Gelabert Pina
79′
81′
🟨 Clément Michelin
85′
🔁 Y. Cabanzon
↦ C. Michelin
88′
🟨 Iñigo Vicente
K. Vazquez 🔁
↦ J. Dubasin
93′
M. Loum 🔁
↦ G. Rosas
94′
Juan Otero 🟨
96′
J. Caicedo 🔁
↦ J. Otero
98′
Kevin Vázquez 🟥
99′
100′
🟨 Jeremy Arevalo
100′
🟥 Marco Sangalli
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Yanez G
2 G. Rosas D
15 P. Vazquez D
4 L. Perrin D
5 D. Sanchez D
24 J. Smith M
14 A. Corredera M
17 J. Dubasin M
10 C. Gelabert Pina M
7 G. Campos M
19 J. Otero F
Bench (11)
23 E. Curbelo
3 P. Garcia
16 O. Cortes
21 M. Loum
9 J. Caicedo
20 K. Vazquez
22 Y. Kembo
11 D. Queipo
6 N. Martin
30 I. Venteo
18 A. Coundoul

Coach: Asier Garitano Aguirrezábal

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ezkieta G
17 C. Michelin D
21 P. Ramon D
16 F. Gonzalez D
32 J. Salinas D
14 M. Gueye M
8 A. Aldasoro M
11 A. Martin M
10 I. Vicente M
15 M. Sangalli M
12 A. Villalibre F
Bench (12)
4 Manu
2 A. Mantilla
20 S. Camara
7 Y. Cabanzon
29 Jeremy Arevalo
3 M. Garcia
19 G. Puerta
36 M. Sergio
9 J. Arana
6 I. Sainz-Maza
35 L. Gomez Rodriguez
5 J. Castro

Coach: José Alberto López Menéndez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,31
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.