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LaLiga2

Referee: Francisco Hernández

Zaragoza

S S U U T

1–2

Full-time

Lugo

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

0,3

2,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zaragoza 19. · Lugo 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Albacete	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Granada	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Sp Gijon	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Burgos	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Villarreal B	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Oviedo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Cartagena	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Ponferradina	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Andorra	4	2	0	2	-3	6
13	Levante	3	1	2	0	+2	5
14	Huesca	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Lugo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Tenerife	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Leganes	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Malaga	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Zaragoza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Mirandes	4	0	1	3	-6	1
21	Ibiza	4	0	1	3	-6	1
22	Santander	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Villarreal B	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Levante	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Huesca	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Cartagena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Lugo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Ibiza	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Santander	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Albacete	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Granada	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Cartagena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Villarreal B	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Andorra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Burgos	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Lugo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Zaragoza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Tenerife	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Santander	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Ibiza	2	0	0	2	-4	0
22	Mirandes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.