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Championship

Referee: P Bankes

Preston

U T U S T

1–1

Full-time

Burnley

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

0,8

3,2

Scored

0,3

2,2

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

This season — Championship · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 32%

63%

Average goals

0,4

2,8

Scored

0,3

1,8

Conceded

0,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

28% Possession 72%

6 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Preston 11. · Burnley 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Norwich	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Blackburn	9	5	0	4	+0	15
4	Reading	8	5	0	3	-2	15
5	Bristol City	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burnley	8	3	4	1	+6	13
7	Watford	9	3	4	2	+0	13
8	Wigan	8	3	4	1	-1	13
9	Sunderland	8	3	2	3	+2	11
10	QPR	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Preston	8	2	5	1	+1	11
12	Stoke	9	3	2	4	+0	11
13	Blackpool	8	3	2	3	-1	11
14	Cardiff	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Hull	9	3	2	4	-7	11
16	Rotherham	7	2	4	1	+3	10
17	Millwall	8	3	1	4	-2	10
18	West Brom	8	1	6	1	+2	9
19	Luton	8	2	3	3	-1	9
20	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-2	9
21	Swansea	9	2	3	4	-5	9
22	Birmingham	8	2	2	4	-3	8
23	Huddersfield	8	1	1	6	-5	4
24	Coventry	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Reading	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Norwich	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Bristol City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Millwall	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Blackburn	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Watford	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Hull	5	3	0	2	-2	9
9	Rotherham	4	2	2	0	+6	8
10	Middlesbrough	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	QPR	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Cardiff	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	West Brom	4	1	3	0	+3	6
14	Burnley	4	1	3	0	+2	6
15	Sunderland	4	1	2	1	+2	5
16	Stoke	4	1	2	1	+1	5
17	Huddersfield	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	Blackpool	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Swansea	5	1	1	3	-5	4
21	Preston	4	0	3	1	-1	3
22	Wigan	4	0	3	1	-4	3
23	Luton	4	0	2	2	-2	2
24	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Sheffield United	5	2	2	1	+2	8
3	Preston	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Burnley	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Luton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Blackpool	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Sunderland	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Norwich	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Stoke	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Bristol City	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Swansea	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	QPR	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Watford	5	0	4	1	-2	4
15	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Cardiff	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	West Brom	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Reading	4	1	0	3	-8	3
19	Rotherham	3	0	2	1	-3	2
20	Hull	4	0	2	2	-5	2
21	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-3	1
22	Coventry	4	0	1	3	-5	1
23	Millwall	4	0	1	3	-6	1
24	Huddersfield	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.