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Championship

Referee: J Linington

Cardiff

T S U T U

1–2

Full-time

Luton

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Luton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Championship · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,2

1,5

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cardiff 14. · Luton 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	6	4	0	2	+1	12
2	Sheffield United	6	3	2	1	+5	11
3	Hull	6	3	2	1	+0	11
4	Norwich	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Rotherham	5	2	3	0	+6	9
6	Burnley	6	2	3	1	+4	9
7	Watford	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Blackburn	6	3	0	3	-2	9
9	Bristol City	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Preston	6	1	5	0	+1	8
11	QPR	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Sunderland	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Blackpool	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Cardiff	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	West Brom	6	1	4	1	+2	7
16	Millwall	6	2	1	3	-2	7
17	Stoke	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	Middlesbrough	6	1	3	2	-1	6
19	Luton	6	1	3	2	-1	6
20	Wigan	5	1	3	1	-3	6
21	Birmingham	6	1	2	3	-3	5
22	Swansea	6	1	2	3	-5	5
23	Huddersfield	5	1	1	3	-1	4
24	Coventry	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Reading	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Hull	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Rotherham	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Norwich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Cardiff	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Millwall	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Watford	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Blackburn	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	West Brom	3	1	2	0	+3	5
12	Middlesbrough	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Stoke	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Blackpool	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Burnley	3	0	3	0	+0	3
19	Preston	3	0	3	0	+0	3
20	Sunderland	3	0	2	1	-1	2
21	Luton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
22	Wigan	3	0	2	1	-4	2
23	Swansea	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	3	2	0	1	+4	6
2	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Preston	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Wigan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Luton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Swansea	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Blackpool	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Watford	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Norwich	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Blackburn	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Stoke	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Reading	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Rotherham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Bristol City	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	West Brom	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Sheffield United	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Hull	3	0	2	1	-3	2
19	Coventry	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Middlesbrough	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-3	1
22	Birmingham	3	0	1	2	-3	1
23	Millwall	3	0	1	2	-4	1
24	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.