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Serie B

Referee: G Manganiello

Sudtirol

S U U U T

0–1

Full-time

Catanzaro

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 40%

29%

50%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

57%

75%

Both score Ø 67%

71%

63%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

9 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sudtirol 9. · Catanzaro 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	8	6	2	0	+12	20
2	Palermo	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Venezia	8	4	3	1	+5	15
4	Catanzaro	8	4	3	1	+1	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	+3	14
6	Modena	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Cittadella	8	3	3	2	-2	12
8	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	Sudtirol	7	2	4	1	+3	10
10	Brescia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
11	Cremonese	8	2	4	2	+0	10
12	Bari	8	1	6	1	+0	9
13	Pisa	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Ascoli	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Reggiana	8	1	4	3	-5	7
16	Ternana	8	1	2	5	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	8	1	2	5	-5	5
18	Spezia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	FeralpiSalo	9	1	2	6	-11	5
20	Lecco	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Como	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Modena	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Catanzaro	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Ascoli	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Brescia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Sudtirol	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Ternana	5	1	2	2	+1	5
12	Cosenza	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	Bari	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Cremonese	5	0	3	2	-2	3
15	Reggiana	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	FeralpiSalo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Lecco	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Parma	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Venezia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Catanzaro	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Cremonese	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Como	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Modena	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Sampdoria	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Bari	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Reggiana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	FeralpiSalo	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Ascoli	5	0	2	3	-6	2
19	Lecco	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Ternana	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.