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Serie B

Referee: G Aureliano

Catanzaro

T U S S S

0–5

Full-time

Parma

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

75%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

64% Possession 36%

12 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 3. · Parma 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Catanzaro	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Parma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Modena	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Sudtirol	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Bari	5	1	4	0	+1	7
8	Brescia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Cremonese	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Cosenza	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Pisa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Como	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Reggiana	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	Ascoli	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Spezia	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	FeralpiSalo	5	0	1	4	-10	1
20	Lecco	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Parma	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Catanzaro	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Cremonese	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Ternana	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	FeralpiSalo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lecco	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Catanzaro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Modena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Cremonese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Como	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Reggiana	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Cittadella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Ascoli	3	0	0	3	-6	0
19	FeralpiSalo	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.