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Serie B

Referee: M Mariani

Bari

U S U U U

2–2

Full-time

Catanzaro

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,3

3,8

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

80%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

1,0

3,6

Scored

0,6

1,8

Conceded

0,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bari 10. · Catanzaro 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Venezia	6	3	3	0	+5	12
3	Modena	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Palermo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Catanzaro	5	3	1	1	+0	10
6	Sudtirol	5	2	3	0	+4	9
7	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Brescia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Bari	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Cremonese	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Pisa	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Como	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	Reggiana	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Ascoli	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Ternana	6	0	2	4	-4	2
18	Lecco	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Spezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	FeralpiSalo	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Parma	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Modena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Catanzaro	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Como	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Palermo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Cremonese	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Ternana	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	FeralpiSalo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Lecco	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Parma	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Pisa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Sudtirol	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Venezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Catanzaro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Modena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Cremonese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Como	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Lecco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Ascoli	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	FeralpiSalo	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.