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Serie B
Referee: G Camplone
FeralpiSalo
T T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Modena
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FeralpiSalo Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,7
Conceded
2,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match FeralpiSalo 18. · Modena 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Venezia 5 3 2 0 +5 11
2 Catanzaro 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Parma 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Modena 3 3 0 0 +4 9
5 Palermo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Sudtirol 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Bari 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Cremonese 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Cittadella 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Cosenza 4 1 1 2 +1 4
11 Sampdoria 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Como 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Pisa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Ascoli 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Reggiana 4 0 2 2 -3 2
16 Ternana 4 0 1 3 -3 1
17 Spezia 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 FeralpiSalo 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FeralpiSalo Modena
2′
D. Falcinelli 0–1
1–1 D. Balestrero
G. Letizia
9′
Mattia Felici 🟨
25′
Davide Balestrero 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
Luca Fiordilino 🟨
53′
53′
🟨 Shady Oukhadda
59′
🔁 A. Guiébré
↦ M. Cotali
59′
🔁 L. Strizzolo
↦ D. Falcinelli
Mattia Felici ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
64′
Mattia Felici 🟨
66′
Mattia Felici 🟥
66′
D. Hergheligiu 🔁
↦ M. Zennaro
71′
M. Compagnon 🔁
↦ V. Parigini
71′
73′
🔁 M. Gargiulo
↦ F. Gerli
K. Butić 🔁
↦ A. La Mantia
78′
D. Di Molfetta 🔁
↦ L. Fiordilino
78′
83′
🟨 Mario Gargiulo
87′
🔁 R. Giovannini
↦ L. Tremolada
88′
🟨 Antonio Pergreffi
F. Bergonzi 🔁
↦ G. Letizia
90′
94′
🟨 Antonio Palumbo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FeralpiSalo

4-3-3
1 S. Pizzignacco G
94 G. Letizia D
19 A. Pilati D
6 L. Bacchetti D
87 B. Martella D
20 M. Zennaro M
16 L. Fiordilino M
8 D. Balestrero M
97 M. Felici F
91 A. La Mantia F
70 V. Parigini F
Bench (12)
27 D. Hergheligiu
14 M. Compagnon
9 K. Butić
10 D. Di Molfetta
66 F. Bergonzi
23 L. Ceppitelli
25 M. Sau
39 C. Kourfalidis
99 A. Pietrelli
61 G. Volpe
3 M. Tonetto
34 S. Minelli

Coach: S. Vecchi

Modena

4-3-1-2
26 R. Gagno G
99 S. Oukhadda D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
29 M. Cotali D
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
5 A. Palumbo M
10 L. Tremolada M
11 D. Falcinelli F
17 J. Manconi F
Bench (12)
8 A. Guiébré
32 L. Strizzolo
20 M. Gargiulo
21 R. Giovannini
7 E. Duca
27 A. Riccio
3 F. Ponsi
90 F. Abiuso
9 N. Bonfanti
12 A. Seculin
23 T. Battistella
33 C. Cauz

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,35
U ✓
3,22
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.