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Serie B

Referee: M Mariani

Modena

U S U U T

1–1

Full-time

Bari

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 40%

34%

46%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

46%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

51%

49%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 12. · Bari 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	35	21	8	6	+33	71
2	Genoa	35	19	11	5	+24	68
3	Bari	35	16	13	6	+21	61
4	Cagliari	36	13	15	8	+14	54
5	Sudtirol	35	13	15	7	+4	54
6	Parma	35	14	10	11	+5	52
7	Reggina	35	15	4	16	+3	49
8	Pisa	35	11	13	11	+9	46
9	Ascoli	35	12	10	13	-5	46
10	Venezia	35	12	9	14	+1	45
11	Palermo	35	10	15	10	-1	45
12	Modena	35	12	8	15	-6	44
13	Como	35	9	16	10	-2	43
14	Ternana	35	11	10	14	-11	43
15	Cittadella	35	8	14	13	-13	38
16	Brescia	35	9	11	15	-19	38
17	Cosenza	35	9	11	15	-22	38
18	Perugia	36	9	9	18	-12	36
19	Spal	35	7	14	14	-9	35
20	Benevento	35	6	14	15	-14	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	18	13	3	2	+23	42
2	Genoa	17	10	6	1	+17	36
3	Cagliari	18	10	6	2	+10	36
4	Parma	17	9	2	6	+7	29
5	Ternana	17	8	5	4	+2	29
6	Palermo	17	7	7	3	+7	28
7	Como	18	7	7	4	+6	28
8	Bari	18	6	9	3	+10	27
9	Sudtirol	18	6	9	3	+3	27
10	Cosenza	17	7	6	4	+3	27
11	Pisa	17	7	5	5	+9	26
12	Reggina	17	8	2	7	+4	26
13	Modena	17	6	7	4	+7	25
14	Venezia	18	6	5	7	+1	23
15	Ascoli	18	6	5	7	-2	23
16	Brescia	18	6	5	7	-5	23
17	Perugia	18	5	6	7	-5	21
18	Spal	18	4	7	7	-1	19
19	Cittadella	17	4	7	6	-5	19
20	Benevento	18	3	6	9	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	17	10	4	3	+11	34
2	Genoa	18	9	5	4	+7	32
3	Frosinone	17	8	5	4	+10	29
4	Sudtirol	17	7	6	4	+1	27
5	Reggina	18	7	2	9	-1	23
6	Parma	18	5	8	5	-2	23
7	Ascoli	17	6	5	6	-3	23
8	Venezia	17	6	4	7	+0	22
9	Pisa	18	4	8	6	+0	20
10	Cittadella	18	4	7	7	-8	19
11	Modena	18	6	1	11	-13	19
12	Cagliari	18	3	9	6	+4	18
13	Benevento	17	3	8	6	-4	17
14	Palermo	18	3	8	7	-8	17
15	Spal	17	3	7	7	-8	16
16	Perugia	18	4	3	11	-7	15
17	Como	17	2	9	6	-8	15
18	Brescia	17	3	6	8	-14	15
19	Ternana	18	3	5	10	-13	14
20	Cosenza	18	2	5	11	-25	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.