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Serie B
Referee: K Bonacina
Sudtirol
U S S U U
0–0
Full-time
Modena
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,6
1,6
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
7 Shots 25
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 8. · Modena 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 6 4 2 0 +10 14
2 Venezia 6 3 3 0 +5 12
3 Modena 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Catanzaro 6 3 2 1 +0 11
5 Palermo 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Como 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Cremonese 7 2 4 1 +1 10
8 Sudtirol 5 2 3 0 +4 9
9 Cosenza 7 2 2 3 +1 8
10 Bari 6 1 5 0 +1 8
11 Cittadella 6 2 2 2 -3 8
12 Brescia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
13 Pisa 5 2 1 2 +0 7
14 Reggiana 6 1 3 2 -2 6
15 Sampdoria 6 1 2 3 -3 5
16 Ascoli 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 FeralpiSalo 7 1 1 5 -10 4
18 Ternana 6 0 2 4 -4 2
19 Lecco 4 0 1 3 -4 1
20 Spezia 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Modena
Half-time 0–0
R. Ciervo 🔁
↦ N. Rauti
46′
56′
🔁 F. Abiuso
↦ M. Cotali
56′
🔁 S. Oukhadda
↦ L. Strizzolo
57′
🔁 J. Manconi
↦ E. Duca
63′
🟨 Jacopo Manconi
E. Pecorino 🔁
↦ M. Rover
63′
J. Broh 🔁
↦ L. Lonardi
70′
70′
🔁 T. Battistella
↦ L. Tremolada
Andrea Giorgini 🟨
75′
G. Lunetta 🔁
↦ S. Davì
80′
A. Cisco 🔁
↦ R. Odogwu
81′
83′
🔁 D. Falcinelli
↦ A. Palumbo
87′
🟨 Fabio Ponsi
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
30 A. Giorgini D
14 G. Cuomo D
55 A. Masiello D
24 S. Davì D
18 M. Rover M
21 F. Tait M
77 L. Lonardi M
17 D. Casiraghi M
23 N. Rauti F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
11 R. Ciervo
9 E. Pecorino
15 J. Broh
8 G. Lunetta
26 A. Cisco
42 D. Peeters
27 C. Shiba
6 L. Ghiringhelli
12 G. Drago
28 R. Kofler
7 N. Siega
5 K. Vinetot

Coach: P. Bisoli

Modena

4-3-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
3 F. Ponsi D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
29 M. Cotali D
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
5 A. Palumbo M
10 L. Tremolada M
7 E. Duca M
32 L. Strizzolo F
Bench (12)
90 F. Abiuso
99 S. Oukhadda
17 J. Manconi
23 T. Battistella
11 D. Falcinelli
4 A. Pergreffi
42 L. Mondele
9 N. Bonfanti
12 A. Seculin
8 A. Guiébré
21 R. Giovannini
27 A. Riccio

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
U ✓
2,87
B
2,69
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,58
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Bonacina · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.