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Serie A

Referee: Giuseppe Collu

Fiorentina

U S U S T

0–3

Full-time

Frosinone

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

4,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-4,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,13 xG 1,11

60% Possession 40%

25 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 20. · Frosinone 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.3	6
2	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.2	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
5	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
6	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
7	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
9	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
10	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
11	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
12	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
13	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
14	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
16	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
18	Monza	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.2	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
20	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.2	3
3	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
5	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
6	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
7	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
8	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
9	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
10	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
11	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
2	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
4	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
6	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
7	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
8	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
9	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
10	Monza	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.2	0
11	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.