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Coppa Italia

Referee: D Perenzoni

Torino

T U S T T

0–1

Full-time

Monza

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 19

0 Shots on target 8

8 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

8 Corners 8

0 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Torino 13. · Monza 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
25	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
7	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.