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Serie A
Referee: L Marinelli
Fiorentina
U T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Torino
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 36%
47%
25%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
58%
35%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,52 xG 0,40
54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Fiorentina 7. · Torino 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 21 16 2 3 +21 +13.3 50
2 Inter 19 13 5 1 +31 +21.4 44
3 Atalanta 21 13 4 4 +22 +15.7 43
4 Juventus 21 8 13 0 +17 +12.5 37
5 Lazio 20 11 3 6 +6 +9.0 36
6 Bologna 20 8 9 3 +6 +5.4 33
7 Fiorentina 19 9 5 5 +12 +8.1 32
8 Milan 20 8 7 5 +8 +13.0 31
9 Roma 21 7 6 8 +4 +1.8 27
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 -5 -7.3 26
11 Genoa 21 5 8 8 -12 -9.1 23
12 Torino 20 5 7 8 -5 -7.2 22
13 Empoli 20 4 8 8 -6 -9.4 20
14 Lecce 20 5 5 10 -18 -11.2 20
15 Parma 20 4 7 9 -10 -14.4 19
16 Como 20 4 7 9 -11 +1.6 19
17 Verona 20 6 1 13 -20 -13.7 19
18 Cagliari 20 4 6 10 -14 -8.8 18
19 Venezia 20 3 5 12 -15 -13.1 14
20 Monza 21 2 7 12 -11 -7.7 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
3,46
B
5,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.