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Pro League

Referee: M Allaerts

Cercle Brugge

T S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Dender

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 22%

33%

11%

Points per game

1,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

56%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,71 xG 0,56

53% Possession 47%

9 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 6

2 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 7. · Dender 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	24	19	1	4	+27	+13.9	58
2	St. Gilloise	24	16	8	0	+29	+23.6	56
3	St Truiden	24	14	3	7	+12	+15.5	45
4	Gent	23	11	5	7	+6	+2.3	38
5	Mechelen	24	10	8	6	+4	-9.8	38
6	Genk	23	10	7	6	+6	+8.7	37
7	Cercle Brugge	27	9	7	11	+1	+2.5	34
8	Anderlecht	24	9	6	9	+2	+2.3	33
9	Antwerp	24	9	5	10	+3	-2.8	32
10	Westerlo	24	8	7	9	-3	+1.4	31
11	Waregem	27	9	4	14	-7	-5.9	31
12	Standard	24	8	5	11	-12	-10.4	29
13	Charleroi	24	6	5	13	-8	-4.2	23
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	24	5	7	12	-15	-8.5	22
15	RAAL La Louviere	27	4	10	13	-15	-9.7	22
16	Dender	27	3	6	18	-30	-19.1	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	12	1	0	+23	+13.4	37
2	Club Brugge	12	9	1	2	+15	+7.5	28
3	St Truiden	12	8	0	4	+3	+7.2	24
4	Gent	11	6	2	3	+8	+0.4	20
5	Genk	12	5	4	3	+4	+8.1	19
6	Antwerp	12	5	3	4	+3	+1.4	18
7	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-1	-0.7	17
8	Anderlecht	11	4	4	3	+7	+6.3	16
9	Mechelen	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.6	16
10	Westerlo	12	4	3	5	+0	+1.9	15
11	Charleroi	12	3	3	6	-3	-0.7	12
12	RAAL La Louviere	14	2	6	6	-7	-2.5	12
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	2	4	6	-4	-2.2	10
14	Cercle Brugge	13	2	3	8	-7	+0.3	9
15	Standard	12	1	5	6	-9	-2.9	8
16	Dender	14	1	2	11	-20	-9.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	12	10	0	2	+12	+6.4	30
2	Cercle Brugge	14	7	4	3	+8	+2.2	25
3	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+3	-7.2	22
4	St Truiden	12	6	3	3	+9	+8.2	21
5	Standard	12	7	0	5	-3	-7.4	21
6	St. Gilloise	11	4	7	0	+6	+10.2	19
7	Genk	11	5	3	3	+2	+0.6	18
8	Gent	12	5	3	4	-2	+1.9	18
9	Anderlecht	13	5	2	6	-5	-3.9	17
10	Westerlo	12	4	4	4	-3	-0.5	16
11	Antwerp	12	4	2	6	+0	-4.3	14
12	Waregem	14	4	2	8	-6	-5.2	14
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	3	3	6	-11	-6.3	12
14	Charleroi	12	3	2	7	-5	-3.5	11
15	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	4	7	-8	-7.1	10
16	Dender	13	2	4	7	-10	-9.2	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.