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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Mechelen
U S S T T
2–0
Full-time
St Truiden
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
40%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 12. · St Truiden 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 6 6 0 0 +10 18
2 Beerschot VA 8 6 0 2 +4 18
3 Anderlecht 8 4 4 0 +8 16
4 Standard 7 5 1 1 +6 16
5 Kortrijk 9 4 1 4 +1 13
6 Club Brugge 6 4 0 2 +14 12
7 Antwerp 8 3 3 2 +1 12
8 Waregem 8 4 0 4 -3 12
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Cercle Brugge 6 3 0 3 +1 9
11 Genk 5 2 2 1 +0 8
12 Mechelen 5 2 1 2 -1 7
13 Eupen 6 1 4 1 -3 7
14 Gent 6 2 0 4 -2 6
15 Oostende 5 1 2 2 +0 5
16 St Truiden 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Waasland-Beveren 7 1 0 6 -10 3
18 Beveren 7 1 0 6 -10 3
19 Mouscron 6 0 2 4 -6 2
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen St Truiden
12′
🟨 Facundo Colidio
Joachim Van Damme 🟨
23′
23′
🟨 Seung-Woo Lee
43′
🟨 Yuma Suzuki
45′
🟨 Christopher Durkin
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Vranckx
K. Mrabti
60′
2–0 A. Vranckx
64′
65′
🟨 Mory Konate
66′
🔁 O. Filippov
↦ F. Colidio
Aster Vranckx 🟨
69′
N. Storm 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
71′
74′
🟨 Ibrahima Sory Sankhon
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ G. Engvall
77′
81′
🔁 N. Balongo
↦ Lee Seung-Woo
84′
🔁 S. Asamoah
↦ C. Durkin
W. Togui 🔁
↦ I. de Camargo
88′
Thibault Peyre 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 G. Coucke G
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
29 I. Kaboré D
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
10 I. de Camargo F
19 K. Mrabti M
20 G. Engvall F
Bench (7)
11 N. Storm
7 G. Hairemans
9 W. Togui
6 R. Bushiri
8 O. Kaya
15 Y. Thoelen
2 J. Van Cleemput

Coach: W. Vrancken

St Truiden

4-4-2
1 K. Steppe G
39 Jonathan Buatu D
20 S. Mmaee D
13 L. Cacace D
32 C. Durkin M
5 S. Colombatto M
10 Lee Seung-Woo F
8 I. Sankhon M
24 M. Konaté M
9 Y. Suzuki F
18 F. Colidio F
Bench (7)
11 O. Filippov
30 N. Balongo
12 S. Asamoah
26 Jorge Teixeira
2 K. Matsubara
21 D. Schmidt
19 S. Van Dessel

Coach: K. Muscat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
4,03
B
4,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.