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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

Gent

T T T S S

2–3

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

43%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

57%

Both score Ø 68%

50%

86%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

24 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

8 Corners 4

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 14. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Beerschot VA	8	6	0	2	+4	18
3	Anderlecht	8	4	4	0	+8	16
4	Standard	7	5	1	1	+6	16
5	Kortrijk	9	4	1	4	+1	13
6	Club Brugge	6	4	0	2	+14	12
7	Antwerp	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Waregem	8	4	0	4	-3	12
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Mechelen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Cercle Brugge	6	3	0	3	+1	9
12	Genk	5	2	2	1	+0	8
13	Eupen	6	1	4	1	-3	7
14	Gent	6	2	0	4	-2	6
15	Oostende	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	St Truiden	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	Waasland-Beveren	7	1	0	6	-10	3
18	Beveren	7	1	0	6	-10	3
19	Mouscron	6	0	2	4	-6	2
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Standard	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Kortrijk	6	2	1	3	+0	7
6	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+4	6
7	Cercle Brugge	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Antwerp	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Waregem	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Genk	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Oostende	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
16	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Mouscron	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Waasland-Beveren	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Standard	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+10	6
6	Kortrijk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Antwerp	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Beerschot VA	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Mechelen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+0	6
11	Gent	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Genk	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Eupen	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Cercle Brugge	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Waasland-Beveren	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Beveren	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Mouscron	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	2	1	-3	2
19	Oostende	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	St Truiden	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.